Echolalia 2,961 Report post Posted January 30, 2010 (edited) http://www.playoffstatus.com/nhl/westernstandingsg.html I stumbled on this nifty chart that determines the probability of some team ending the season at some place in the conference, based on where they are now. edit: also there's an eastern conference one if you make your way back to the nhl page (link in top left) Edited January 30, 2010 by Echolalia Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
utahfalconer 0 Report post Posted January 30, 2010 This doesn't look very accurate to me. From what I can see it doesnt really take into account the types of players you have, its just a strict statistical analysis based on historical numbers for those positions. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Echolalia 2,961 Report post Posted January 30, 2010 This doesn't look very accurate to me. From what I can see it doesnt really take into account the types of players you have, its just a strict statistical analysis based on historical numbers for those positions. If a truly accurate model could be produced then people wouldn't allow you to gamble on it, would they? Anyway, I don't know the exact equations they use, but it says at the top that "All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths". How you want to interpret that is up to you. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
T-Ruff 47 Report post Posted January 30, 2010 I like this site for playoff probabilities, it's fun to track the playoff races with it as the season draws to a close http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL.html Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SouthernWingsFan 854 Report post Posted January 30, 2010 THE RED WINGS ARE NOT GOING TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS... Hush child. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Marty Barry 230 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 THE RED WINGS ARE NOT GOING TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
themule0932 0 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 www.coolstandings.com is another good site. Not only do they have hockey but they have all the other major sports as well. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jeff48109 474 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 LA just won another shootout! dammit Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Echolalia 2,961 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 LA just won another shootout! dammit And Vancouver overcame a three goal deficit to win the game. Nashville is winning 4-3, and Phoenix is up 3-0 right now. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GMRwings1983 8,794 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 And Vancouver overcame a three goal deficit to win the game. Nashville is winning 4-3, and Phoenix is up 3-0 right now. Well, then we should have beaten both LA and Phoenix when we had the chance. We'd have 4 extra points right now, and both those teams would have 2 points less. Wings just have themselves to blame for that. We need to win tomorrow to keep pace it looks like. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
stuck in socal 56 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 Hopefully Calgary loses in the Battle of Alberta tonight. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Echolalia 2,961 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 Hopefully Calgary loses in the Battle of Alberta tonight. They're off to an early lead Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Marty Barry 230 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 Having to hope that other teams lose for us to make it sucks. I miss the dominance. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
stuck in socal 56 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 Oil tie it up. Woo! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
stuck in socal 56 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 Flames back on top. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jeff48109 474 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 Minnesota on top too. nice... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jericho613 74 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 Alot of the teams in the standings now, in my opinion are over achieving. Phoenix, Nashville,and LA. A healthy Wings lineup can easily beat them in the standings. Sure it might take a big win streak, but it will happen. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lovin Jiri Fischer 147 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 Remember last year when we all watched San Jose games anxiously with intense fear that we would not win the conference? I miss those days. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
stuck in socal 56 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 Remember last year when we all watched San Jose games anxiously with intense fear that we would not win the conference? I miss those days. Haha I think all of us miss those days. It is pretty funny though. "Oh lord we are not getting first place!" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Guest Lidstromboli Report post Posted January 31, 2010 Remember last year when we all watched San Jose games anxiously with intense fear that we would not win the conference? I miss those days. yeah nice and boring aw shucks, i just ran out of wonder bread! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tdinc 45 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 since my thread topic got closed, because I didn't even find this one. anyway, I'll repost what i said here. Lets face it. the Red Wings are on the verge of not making the playoffs if they continue to play as they are. Besides the injuries, there are no excuses. Its time for the old hat to be put away. Drapes, Malts, Homer, Ozzie throw Lebda in there. This teams needs a major Shake Up. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Never_Retire_Steve 35 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 Ya, I don't think they need a major shake up. Are we quickly forgetting that this team went to the Cup finals 2 years in a row? Yes this team has played very poorly compared to its standards but this is still a good team. I hate to use injuries but you have to consider them and who has been out. The key difference between this years team and the last two years is the depth. When we have had injuries in the past we have had excellent replacement players to fill the roles. This year has not been the case and we have seen that reflected in the play. I agree that some decisions need to be made on the players you mentioned but a major shake up is not the answer, more so a few tweaks. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GMRwings1983 8,794 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 There's about 6 teams now battling for that final spot, and outside of Calgary, every one of them is playing better than us. If I was a betting man, I'd take one of those 6 teams ahead of the Wings as far as the chance of making the playoffs. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
VM1138 1,921 Report post Posted January 31, 2010 You don't do major shakeups when you're a playoff bubble team. If you make a change you make a careful, surgical change that gives your team something you badly need without messing up what little chemistry you may have on your team. You only do major shakeups if you're a bottom feeder, which this team, with all it's struggles clearly is not. But I don't forsee the Wings adding any players, we'll just have to ride out the storm and then tweak the team in the offseason. I am, however, one of the few who thinks the Wings still can dominate in the playoffs. We've seen them turn the switch before. Call me crazy, but I'm calling a Cup finals appearance again. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
