Crashnburnluder 385 Report post Posted March 4, 2010 (edited) I wanted to get a thread going that I will update everynight that will tell us exactly how many points we need to guarantee a playoff position.... Please keep in mind at first the numbers are going to be incredibly high and unrealistic, but as we win games and other teams lose games the numbers will begin to fall (aka... this is going of the idea that the current ninth seed would go undefeated the rest of the season) Current as of 3/3/2010 (IF Calgary loses) GR = 19 Points Needed = 38 Minimum amount of wins = 19 GO WINGS.... Edited March 4, 2010 by Crashnburnluder Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Drake_Marcus 890 Report post Posted March 4, 2010 GR = 19 Minimum amount of wins = 19 Sounds do-able! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Crashnburnluder 385 Report post Posted March 4, 2010 Sounds do-able! I agree.... like I said.... the numbers will be very unrealistic as of now... hopefully we start winning some games and that number becomes a lot smaller.... crash Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Guest CaliWingsNut Report post Posted March 4, 2010 6-3 not gonna do that. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ShanahanMan 473 Report post Posted March 4, 2010 6-3 not gonna do that. To a team missing TWO of its top defensemen no less. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Crashnburnluder 385 Report post Posted March 4, 2010 agreed... 6-3 wont win us anything... atleast everyone else is losing too Calgary and Anahiem Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
FunkedUp 29 Report post Posted March 4, 2010 (edited) Edited March 4, 2010 by FunkedUp Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Z and D for the C 712 Report post Posted March 4, 2010 As long as we beat teams that are right behind us, we really just need to stay at .500 and we'll probably be in. But we probably won't make it out of the first round. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Crashnburnluder 385 Report post Posted March 6, 2010 Current as of 3/5/2010 (IF Calgary Wins) GR = 18 Points Needed = 36 Minimum amount of wins = 18 Once again with Calgary most likely going to get the W tonight we really haven't had much help in the standings situation... hopefully NJ pulls of a miracle and can at least just keep them to one.... but on a good note... MUCH better performance tonight. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Vladifan 680 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 As long as we beat teams that are right behind us, we really just need to stay at .500 and we'll probably be in. But we probably won't make it out of the first round. This is probably true but I do SO enjoy reading about how none of the top teams really want to play us if it comes to that. Keeps my spirits up. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
InKennyWeTrust 126 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 Best use of youtube clip ever. You win one of the 387,224 "Internet Awards of 2010." Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Crashnburnluder 385 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 this will be updated after the calgary and nashville game.... hopefully they both lose but they are both winning at this moment.... grrrr Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
russianswede919293 95 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 In a real world scenario, I believe that we need at least 95 points to make the playoffs. http://blog.mlive.com/snapshots/2010/02/red_wings_face_uphill_playoff-.html 21 points in 17 games... So that means that we need to win 11 of the next 17 games. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
grsbmd 0 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 If you're interested in things like these, a good site to check out is http://sportsclubstats.com. They run a massive number of simulations to the end of the regular season to calculate the probabilities that a team will make the playoffs. What's great about this is that it takes into account things like two teams that are both battling for a spot playing against each other. So it seems that mathematically, we need to go about 13-3-2 to guarantee a spot in the playoffs. The worst we could do and still sneak in seems to be 5-11-2. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Crashnburnluder 385 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 In a real world scenario, I believe that we need at least 95 points to make the playoffs. http://blog.mlive.com/snapshots/2010/02/red_wings_face_uphill_playoff-.html 21 points in 17 games... So that means that we need to win 11 of the next 17 games. yea.... my numbers are really high because of the fact I'm going of the fact that Calgary will go the rest of the season winning every game... this what happened... but like I said... this is following what we need to guarantee playoffs... If the Flames lose today that would help us out.... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RedWingsRox 614 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 The answer is one more than 9th place team. Forget trying to calculate how many ... you never know how things will pan out, just keep on winning and we're in control of our destiny. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GMRwings1983 8,794 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 It looks like it's going to come down to 3 teams fighting for 2 spots. I just hope we're not that odd team out. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Echolalia 2,961 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 Vancouver just had a surge and is beating Nashville 3 to 2 in the waning minutes of that game. Calgary is beating Minnesota by one with less than ten minutes to go. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Crashnburnluder 385 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 The answer is one more than 9th place team. Forget trying to calculate how many ... you never know how things will pan out, just keep on winning and we're in control of our destiny. yea i know... but if we win a couple and they lose a couple... it could give us a lot of breathing room especially since we play the flames twice.... and anaheim and dallas losing helps our cause.... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GMRwings1983 8,794 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 Vancouver just had a surge and is beating Nashville 3 to 2 in the waning minutes of that game. Calgary is beating Minnesota by one with less than ten minutes to go. I hope Vancouver does to Nashville what they did to us. If not, I'll hate Vancouver. As for Calgary, I knew they'd win as soon as we did. Can't wait till we play these teams again. That will make or break us. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Doc Holliday 1,888 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 Calgary seals it with a second goal from their captain. No team is helping us right now. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GMRwings1983 8,794 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 Calgary seals it with a second goal from their captain. No team is helping us right now. That's O.K. At least we've pulled away from teams like Dallas, Minnesota, Anaheim and St. Louis. Like I said, now it's three teams fighting for two spots. We just need Nashville to lose, so that we can remain one point ahead of them. Just look at it this way, Calgary losing would have meant us losing. That's how it seems to work. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Echolalia 2,961 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 Nashville just lost, so we're one point away from 7th now. Unfortunately we're also one point away from 9th with the inevitable Flames' win. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GMRwings1983 8,794 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 Nashville just lost, so we're one point away from 7th now. Unfortunately we're also one point away from 9th with the inevitable Flames' win. That's fine. We have a big advantage on those 2 teams in terms of talent. If we bring it every game, we'll make the playoffs. Those teams probably can't say the same with their rosters. We just can't have any games like the Vancouver game where we don't try hard. If we show up every game, we'll make it in. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
VM1138 1,921 Report post Posted March 7, 2010 Beating Chicago will be huge for this team. As long as the team breaks even in wins and losses, and other teams don't go on huge win streaks the team can make it in. Just to make it more comfortable they should win like what, 60-75% of their remaining games? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
