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FireCaptain

% chance of making the playoffs

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I had already updated.. check the first post..

I was a little late this morning as my bed decided to hold me hostage (I slept in). haha

Currently at 66.5%

Detroit vs Minnesota +8.0 (-12.4)
New Jersey vs Toronto +2.0 (-2.0)
NY Islanders vs Columbus +2.5 (-1.6)

Numbers for today from the same site listed above.

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You're right, my bad. A few weeks ago the playoffs looked like more of a dream than a goal but it's looking more and more likely as long as they can keep scoring like they have and don't give up games against the weaker teams down the stretch.

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According to Sportsclubstats we still have a 94.7% chance of making the playoffs if we finish with a record of 5-3-4.

Its 96.4% if we go 7-5

If we go just .500 (6-6) our chances are still 69.6%

Our fate is totally within our own hands.

I like this. And hopefully we have Datsyuk for the last few games

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3/23 recap

What we need tonight (all %ages assume regulation win/loss) (red is status with undesired outcome):

Wings win (MIN loss) - +7.8% (-1.9)

Devils win (TOR loss) - +2.0% (-1.6)

Islanders win (CLB loss) - +2.5% (-1.6)

edit: Isles did their part. Devils did their part.Wings loss in OT (Hurts in ROW, but that's a whole different issue)!!

Current standing: 8th in the East - second wildcard spot (tied with WSH, but ROW is in our favor).

Edited by FireCaptain

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3/23 recap

What we need tonight (all %ages assume regulation win/loss) (red is status with undesired outcome):

Wings win (MIN loss) - +7.8% (+7.8)

Devils win (TOR loss) - +1.7% (-1.6)

Islanders win (CLB loss) - +2.5% (-1.6)

edit: Isles did their part. Devils did their part.Wings loss in OT - DID NOT HURT the %ages (Hurts in ROW, but that's a whole different issue)!!

Current standing: 8th in the East - second wildcard spot (tied with WSH, but ROW is in our favor).

7th in the east, 1st wildcard. We have the games played tiebreaker with Toronto

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7th in the east, 1st wildcard. We have the games played tiebreaker with Toronto

We also have ROW tie breaker, and leading season series tie breaker against them. Makes our final game against them very important just in case we end up tied in points when all is said and done. could be the difference between 3rd or a wildcard, or wildcard and the goal differential is super close.

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Tonight's game is crucial for columbus. Currently they are sitting around a bit more than a 50% chance at making it. But if they lose tonight they drop 17%. If they win we will drop ten with them gaining ten giving them a better shot then us. So it's pretty much a must win for both teams.

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Again, this is the OLD info. 3/24/14 recap.

CURRENT INFO CLICK HERE

Today's (3/24/14) chance: 68.9%.

What we need tonight (all %ages assume regulation win/loss) (red is status with undesired outcome):

Phoenix win (Rags loss) - +0.8% (-0.4)

Kings win (PHI loss) - +0.4% (-0.2)

Boston win (MTL loss) - +0.1% (-0.1)

This group of games - statistically - doesn't help much for wins, however it does deny valuable points to NYR/PHI/MTL/OTT.

Current standing: 7th in the East - primary wildcard spot (tied with TOR, but ROW is in our favor).

Edited by FireCaptain

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Old stuff for safekeeping - newest info HERE.

I'll try and update this daily with the latest projections from Sports Club Stats.

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Atlantic/Detroit.html

Today's (3/25/14) chance: 68.7%.

What we need tonight (all %ages assume regulation win/loss) (red is status with undesired outcome):

Wings win (CLB loss) - +13.5% (-11.3)

Blues win (TOR loss) - +2.3% (-3.0)

Kings win (WSH loss) - +2.5% (-2.1)

Brooklyn Islanders win (CAR loss) - +0.2% (-0.1)

Panthers win (OTT loss) - +0.1% (-0.1)

Buffalo win (MTL loss) - +0.1% (-0.0)

Current standing: 7th in the East - primary wildcard spot (tied with TOR, but ROW is in our favor - also, 2 games in hand over Toronto).

What a difference a week makes - 3/18/14 - 35.2% ---> 3/25/14 - 68.7%

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Old stuff for safekeeping - newest info HERE.

Today's (3/27/14) chance: 46.3%.

What we need tonight (all %ages assume regulation win/loss) (red is status with undesired outcome):

Wings win (MTL win) - +9.7% (-14.2)

Desert Dogs win (NJD loss) - +0.9% (-1.7)

Panthers win (CAR win) - +0.1% (-0.1)

Current standing: 8th in the East - secondary wildcard spot (tied with CLB (ROW NOT in our favor) and WSH (ROW in our favor + game in hand)).

Sorry I'm a couple days behind, I've been out of pocket due to a death in the family.

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Today's (3/27/14) chance: 46.3%.

I was 13 when they last missed the playoffs. I am... old now. I have to be honest these must win games over the last couple of years have been exciting. I'll take those over a dominant regular season team that flounders in the 1st round.

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I was 13 when they last missed the playoffs. I am... old now. I have to be honest these must win games over the last couple of years have been exciting. I'll take those over a dominant regular season team that flounders in the 1st round.

agreed....however I was 15.

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I was 13 when they last missed the playoffs. I am... old now. I have to be honest these must win games over the last couple of years have been exciting. I'll take those over a dominant regular season team that flounders in the 1st round.

I was 2

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