Jump to content


Photo
- - - - -

% chance of making the playoffs


  • Please log in to reply
157 replies to this topic

#41 marcaractac

marcaractac

    Hall-of-Famer

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,394 posts
  • Location:St. John's, newfoundland

Posted 21 March 2014 - 08:42 PM

Pretty awesome that our playoff chances jumped up about 20% in just 2 games. Hopefully they can keep on winning, as it can drop just as quick.



#42 FlashyG

FlashyG

    1st Line All-Star

  • HoF Booster
  • 1,159 posts
  • Location:Canada

Posted 21 March 2014 - 09:58 PM

Here are the schedules of the teams we're fighting with.

Toronto (3 pts ahead but played 2 more games)

Montreal
@New Jersey (2nd of back to back)
St. Louis(3rd in 4 nights)
@Philadelphia
Detroit (2nd of back to back)
Calgary
Boston
Winnipeg
@Tampa Bay
@Florida
@Ottawa

Rangers (3 pts ahead but played 2 more games)

@New Jersey(2nd of back to back)
Phoenix (3rd in 4 nights)
Philadelphia
@Calgary
@Edmonton
@Vancouver
@Colorado
Ottawa
Carolina
Buffalo
Montreal

Columbus (1 pt ahead but 1 more game played)

@Islanders (3rd in 4 nights and 4th in 6 nights)
Detroit
Penguins
@Carolina (2nd of back to back)
Colorado
@Philadelphia
Chicago (2nd of Back to back and 3rd game in 4 nights)
Islanders (3rd in 4 nights and 4th in 6 nights)
Phoenix
@Dallas
@Tampa Bay
@Florida (2nd of back to back and 3rd in 4 nights)

Washington (tied in pts but 2 more games played)
@San Jose
Los Angeles
Boston
@Nashville (2nd of back to back)
Dallas (3rd in 4 nights)
@New Jersey
@Islanders (2nd of Back to back)
@St Louis
@Carolina
Chicago (2nd of back to back)
Tampa Bay (3rd in 4 nights)

Our remaining schedule

@Minnesota
Minnesota (2nd of back to back and 3rd in 4 nights)
@Columbus (4th in 6 nights)
Montreal
@Toronto
Tampa Bay (2nd of Back to Back)
Boston
Buffalo
@Montreal (2nd of back to back and 3rd in 4 nights)
@Buffalo
@Pittsburgh (2nd of back to back)
Carolina (3rd in 4 nights)
@St Louis
 
 
Looks to me that the Rangers and Leafs have far easier schedules than both us and Columbus. I expect Washington drop off in the next few games and the race for that final playoff spot to come down to a dogfight between us and Columbus.
 
Its kind of irritating that the Rangers who have the easiest travel schedule in the entire league also get the benefit of having almost none of their games on back to backs while we have 4 sets of them in the final 14 games. 


#43 derblaueClaus

derblaueClaus

    1st Line All-Star

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,075 posts
  • Location:Rotenburg (Wmme), Germany

Posted 21 March 2014 - 10:31 PM

Thanks for providing this list. 

Schedule is one thing, the other question is which opponent will still compete for points and places (= is harder to play) , who is hot or not or who is injured at which time. I also don't think Washington will make it, but the Ranger's will. Toronto I'm not so sure about. Their starter is injured, they have dropped a few games lately and can feel the breath of the following teams. That might get them nervous, so it will be a dogfight of three teams in my opinion. ;). That said, the games against Toronto and Colombus are like 4 point-games. If we win them I'm pretty confident we'll make it.


Edited by derblaueClaus, 21 March 2014 - 10:33 PM.

"I'd have my **** out if I scored four goals. Id have my **** out, stroking it." - "Jumbo" Joe Thornton

 

 

Monsterblue.jpg

 

Thanks MabusIncarnate


#44 Buppy

Buppy

    1st Line All-Star

  • Silver Booster
  • 1,980 posts

Posted 21 March 2014 - 10:50 PM

I wouldn't consider Montreal out of reach either. They're 6 points up, but we have two in hand and play them twice.

 

@Toronto

@Boston

Buffalo

@Detroit

@Florida

@Tampa Bay

@Ottawa

Detroit

@Chicago

Islanders

Rangers



#45 FireCaptain

FireCaptain

    This space for rent.

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,927 posts
  • Location:Atoka, TN

Posted 21 March 2014 - 11:53 PM

FRIDAY'S WISH LIST 3/21/14.

 

Columbus win (NYR loss) - +0.6%     (+0.3) (odd result, we get %age points either way)

This game NEEDS to end in regulation tho. If not, that third point KILLS us - we go from PLUS half a point or so to MINUS one and a half.

 

 

Chicago win (NYR loss) - +0.1%     (-0.2)


Most nights, my posts are brought to you by some sort of IPA and a heaping dose of sarcasm.
Success has a thousand fathers, failure is an orphan.
We not score, is hard to win. - Pavel Datsyuk #13


#46 wingsfan4795

wingsfan4795

    1st Line All-Star

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,660 posts
  • Location:Libertyville Illinois

Posted 22 March 2014 - 12:17 AM

How does a Chicago win affect us?

Good rule of thumb is always take an octopus everywhere. Better to have one and not need it than find yourself thinking, "Damn, I wish I had that octopus".

 

-Buppy


#47 marcaractac

marcaractac

    Hall-of-Famer

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,394 posts
  • Location:St. John's, newfoundland

Posted 22 March 2014 - 12:48 AM

I'm still convinced we finish within the top 3 of our division yet



#48 FlashyG

FlashyG

    1st Line All-Star

  • HoF Booster
  • 1,159 posts
  • Location:Canada

Posted 22 March 2014 - 12:54 AM

How does a Chicago win affect us?

 

+0.1% for Chicago's Win.

 

Tomorrows games that affect us are

 

Minnesota v Detroit

Toronto v Montreal

San Jose v Washington

New Jersey v New York R.

Philadelphia v St. Louis

Dallas v Ottawa

Winnipeg v Carolina

 

If we win in regulation or OT our chances improve to 64.8%, Winning in a shootout improves our chances to 64%.

Losing in OT or a shootout improves our chances to 54% and losing in regulation drops our chances to 42.5%

 

Best case scenario for us is all the bolded winning in regulation. That would improve our chances to 70.5%



#49 FireCaptain

FireCaptain

    This space for rent.

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,927 posts
  • Location:Atoka, TN

Posted 22 March 2014 - 04:09 AM

Chicago wins affect us if they play someone in the mix with us. 

 

By winning against the Rangers, they kept the Rangers from adding more points, thus they could - potentially - drop from third in the Metro division, opening the spot for Columbus or Washington. Which then puts the Rags in play for the wildcard spots we are fighting for. 

 

 

How does a Chicago win affect us?


Most nights, my posts are brought to you by some sort of IPA and a heaping dose of sarcasm.
Success has a thousand fathers, failure is an orphan.
We not score, is hard to win. - Pavel Datsyuk #13


#50 Euro_Twins

Euro_Twins

    Healthy Scratch

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,943 posts
  • Location:Windsor, Ontario

Posted 22 March 2014 - 09:09 AM

Chicago wins affect us if they play someone in the mix with us. 
 
By winning against the Rangers, they kept the Rangers from adding more points, thus they could - potentially - drop from third in the Metro division, opening the spot for Columbus or Washington. Which then puts the Rags in play for the wildcard spots we are fighting for. 
 
 


Wasn't it nyr vs. Columbus

#51 NitzGuy

NitzGuy

    Jr. Prospect

  • Member
  • 18 posts

Posted 22 March 2014 - 10:03 AM

Wasn't it nyr vs. Columbus

yea Chicago played Carolina which they are hardly relevant anymore so that's why it was only a 0.1 gain.



#52 wingsfan4795

wingsfan4795

    1st Line All-Star

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,660 posts
  • Location:Libertyville Illinois

Posted 22 March 2014 - 03:51 PM

Chicago wins affect us if they play someone in the mix with us. 
 
By winning against the Rangers, they kept the Rangers from adding more points, thus they could - potentially - drop from third in the Metro division, opening the spot for Columbus or Washington. Which then puts the Rags in play for the wildcard spots we are fighting for. 
 
 

Yeah I realized after I posted that it was a game against Carolina. My bad

Big boost with that win, eh? Within striking distance of Toronto now
I'll take 64.8% any day haha

Good rule of thumb is always take an octopus everywhere. Better to have one and not need it than find yourself thinking, "Damn, I wish I had that octopus".

 

-Buppy


#53 themcityblues

themcityblues

    2nd Line Scorer

  • Member
  • PipPipPip
  • 740 posts

Posted 22 March 2014 - 06:26 PM

Toronto is going to hell, both inside their locker room chaos and on the scoreboard.  1-0 Canadians.

 

What is our % if Leafs lose?


And...... 2-0



#54 sjr2012

sjr2012

    1st Line All-Star

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,225 posts
  • Location:Croswell,MI

Posted 22 March 2014 - 06:36 PM

i want toronto to lose so we can catch them


try to get something by me i dare you

 

 

:goalie:


#55 Euro_Twins

Euro_Twins

    Healthy Scratch

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,943 posts
  • Location:Windsor, Ontario

Posted 22 March 2014 - 07:52 PM

Per nhl power rankings from yesterday, note the respect given to babs in the last sentence.

16. Detroit Red Wings (31-24-13) LW: NR

The Penguins lead the League in man-games lost to injury by a wide margin, but the sheer number of players the Red Wings have been missing at times this season has been stunning. The replacements for the injured players have gotten hurt. Detroit had a player not finish the game because of injury in six straight.

And yet the Red Wings still are hanging around. If they keep "The Streak" alive, it will be remembered as one of the best coaching jobs of Mike Babcock's career.

http://www.nhl.com/i...s.htm?id=710436

#56 SDavis35

SDavis35

    1st Line Sniper

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 938 posts
  • Location:Burlington, ON

Posted 22 March 2014 - 09:16 PM

Pretty awesome that our playoff chances jumped up about 20% in just 2 games. Hopefully they can keep on winning, as it can drop just as quick.

 

Another +15% with today's results (so far). All for naught if we have the wrong results tomorrow. 



#57 DeGraa55

DeGraa55

    1st Line All-Star

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,964 posts

Posted 22 March 2014 - 10:55 PM

Euro twins I personally agree with that last sentence you pointed out. Holland assembled a pretty crappy team IMO to start the year.

But due to many of the trash being out it's given so many young kids to prove their worth. I believe it's because of their talent and the great coaching of both blashill(spelling) and Babcock.

Honestly if our roster stayed the way it is except for z dat and E being back it's the best we could be.

The unfortunate thing with e being back is smith will get dumped to s*** pairings again. And idk who I'd put with z and dat as I'd want the legwand nyquist an Franzen line to stay together. Maybe Alfie with z and dat so we could actually have a "puck control" line lol.

Ya I'm Prolly forgetting someone but I'd do:
Alfie dat z
Franzen legwand nyquist
Tatar Sheahan jurco when healthy again forgot him...miller for now
Glendening helm Ferraro

Kronwall smith
E DK
QUINCEY and lashoff or kindl.


Unfortunately z will be out for season most likely. Hopefully dat back soon!

Edited by DeGraa55, 22 March 2014 - 10:59 PM.


#58 Datsyukian-Deke

Datsyukian-Deke

    1st Line Sniper

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 783 posts

Posted 22 March 2014 - 11:39 PM

The Wings have to go 7-4-1 in the last 12 games to get to 94 points which is what experts think will be the magic number to get into the playoffs. If we win tomorrow we would only need 6 wins out of 11 games. Thats def possible especially if we can get any players back from now till the end of the season.

#59 wingsfan4795

wingsfan4795

    1st Line All-Star

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,660 posts
  • Location:Libertyville Illinois

Posted 22 March 2014 - 11:51 PM

The Wings have to go 7-4-1 in the last 12 games to get to 94 points which is what experts think will be the magic number to get into the playoffs. If we win tomorrow we would only need 6 wins out of 11 games. Thats def possible especially if we can get any players back from now till the end of the season.

I think it will take less than 94. I don't see any of the current bubble teams winning 7 games

Good rule of thumb is always take an octopus everywhere. Better to have one and not need it than find yourself thinking, "Damn, I wish I had that octopus".

 

-Buppy


#60 marcaractac

marcaractac

    Hall-of-Famer

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,394 posts
  • Location:St. John's, newfoundland

Posted 23 March 2014 - 12:01 AM

I think it will take less than 94. I don't see any of the current bubble teams winning 7 games

 

Agreed. Especially where they only have about 10 games left and tougher schedules.







Similar Topics Collapse

0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users