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% chance of making the playoffs


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#81 DannyD

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Posted 23 March 2014 - 07:21 PM

I like this. And hopefully we have Datsyuk for the last few games

With the way Goose has been playing we might not need him until the playoffs.



#82 wingsfan4795

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Posted 23 March 2014 - 08:01 PM

With the way Goose has been playing we might not need him until the playoffs.

True

Toronto down 3-1. Looking like their implosion will continue

Good rule of thumb is always take an octopus everywhere. Better to have one and not need it than find yourself thinking, "Damn, I wish I had that octopus".

 

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#83 FireCaptain

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Posted 23 March 2014 - 09:12 PM

3/23 recap

 

What we need tonight (all %ages assume regulation win/loss) (red is status with undesired outcome):

 

Wings win         (MIN loss)   - +7.8%     (-1.9

Devils win         (TOR loss) - +2.0%     (-1.6

Islanders win     (CLB loss)  - +2.5%      (-1.6

 

edit: Isles did their part. Devils did their part.Wings loss in OT (Hurts in ROW, but that's a whole different issue)!!

 

Current standing: 8th in the East - second wildcard spot (tied with WSH, but ROW is in our favor).


Edited by FireCaptain, 23 March 2014 - 11:28 PM.

Most nights, my posts are brought to you by Heineken and sarcasm.
Success has a thousand fathers, failure is an orphan.
We not score, is hard to win. - Pavel Datsyuk #13

#84 wingsfan4795

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Posted 23 March 2014 - 09:56 PM

3/23 recap
 
What we need tonight (all %ages assume regulation win/loss) (red is status with undesired outcome):
 
Wings win         (MIN loss)   - +7.8%     (+7.8

Devils win         (TOR loss) - +1.7%     (-1.6

Islanders win     (CLB loss)  - +2.5%      (-1.6

 

edit: Isles did their part. Devils did their part.Wings loss in OT - DID NOT HURT the %ages (Hurts in ROW, but that's a whole different issue)!!

 

Current standing: 8th in the East - second wildcard spot (tied with WSH, but ROW is in our favor).

7th in the east, 1st wildcard. We have the games played tiebreaker with Toronto

Good rule of thumb is always take an octopus everywhere. Better to have one and not need it than find yourself thinking, "Damn, I wish I had that octopus".

 

-Buppy


#85 FireCaptain

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Posted 23 March 2014 - 11:25 PM

I always move the current day's post to the bottom - intact.

 

See 1st post for current info.

 

7th in the east, 1st wildcard. We have the games played tiebreaker with Toronto


Most nights, my posts are brought to you by Heineken and sarcasm.
Success has a thousand fathers, failure is an orphan.
We not score, is hard to win. - Pavel Datsyuk #13

#86 marcaractac

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Posted 23 March 2014 - 11:27 PM

7th in the east, 1st wildcard. We have the games played tiebreaker with Toronto

 

We also have ROW tie breaker, and leading season series tie breaker against them. Makes our final game against them very important just in case we end up tied in points when all is said and done. could be the difference between 3rd or a wildcard, or wildcard and the goal differential is super close.



#87 wingsfan4795

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Posted 24 March 2014 - 04:36 PM

Our chances moved from 35.2% to 68.9% since this thread was created. This thread must be good luck

Good rule of thumb is always take an octopus everywhere. Better to have one and not need it than find yourself thinking, "Damn, I wish I had that octopus".

 

-Buppy


#88 FireCaptain

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Posted 24 March 2014 - 05:33 PM

Woohoo! I did something right! Haha. We almost doubled our percentage chances!

Our chances moved from 35.2% to 68.9% since this thread was created. This thread must be good luck
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Most nights, my posts are brought to you by Heineken and sarcasm.
Success has a thousand fathers, failure is an orphan.
We not score, is hard to win. - Pavel Datsyuk #13

#89 NitzGuy

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 10:27 AM

Tonight's game is crucial for columbus. Currently they are sitting around a bit more than a 50% chance at making it. But if they lose tonight they drop 17%. If they win we will drop ten with them gaining ten giving them a better shot then us. So it's pretty much a must win for both teams.

#90 FireCaptain

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 02:04 PM

Again, this is the OLD info. 3/24/14 recap.

 

CURRENT INFO CLICK HERE

 

Today's (3/24/14) chance: 68.9%. 

What we need tonight (all %ages assume regulation win/loss) (red is status with undesired outcome):

 

Phoenix win        (Rags loss)   - +0.8%     (-0.4

Kings win            (PHI loss)      - +0.4%       (-0.2)  

Boston win          (MTL loss)    - +0.1%     (-0.1) 

 

This group of games - statistically - doesn't help much for wins, however it does deny valuable points to NYR/PHI/MTL/OTT.

 

Current standing: 7th in the East - primary wildcard spot (tied with TOR, but ROW is in our favor).


Edited by FireCaptain, 25 March 2014 - 02:13 PM.

Most nights, my posts are brought to you by Heineken and sarcasm.
Success has a thousand fathers, failure is an orphan.
We not score, is hard to win. - Pavel Datsyuk #13

#91 Euro_Twins

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 03:18 PM

Our chances could potentially rise to 87.4% tonight...

#92 BottleOfSmoke

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 03:58 PM

Our chances could potentially rise to 87.4% tonight...


And my chances of joyful crying as opposed to anguished crying raise by 77%.

LGWsig_zpsa75c5d1e.jpg

 


#93 Euro_Twins

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 04:12 PM

And my chances of joyful crying as opposed to anguished crying raise by 77%.


And there's an 84.7% chance of butt pats, followed by a 23% chance of the drunk tank

#94 FireCaptain

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Posted 27 March 2014 - 12:45 PM

Old stuff for safekeeping  - newest info HERE.

I'll try and update this daily with the latest projections from Sports Club Stats.

 

http://www.sportsclu...ic/Detroit.html

 

Today's (3/25/14) chance: 68.7%. 

What we need tonight (all %ages assume regulation win/loss) (red is status with undesired outcome):

 

Wings win                          (CLB loss)      - +13.5%     (-11.3) 

Blues win                           (TOR loss)     - +2.3%       (-3.0)  

Kings win                           (WSH loss)     - +2.5%       (-2.1) 

Brooklyn Islanders win       (CAR loss)     - +0.2%       (-0.1) 

Panthers win                     (OTT loss)      - +0.1%       (-0.1) 

Buffalo win                         (MTL loss)      - +0.1%       (-0.0) 

 

Current standing: 7th in the East - primary wildcard spot (tied with TOR, but ROW is in our favor - also, 2 games in hand over Toronto).

 

What a difference a week makes - 3/18/14 - 35.2% ---> 3/25/14 - 68.7%


Most nights, my posts are brought to you by Heineken and sarcasm.
Success has a thousand fathers, failure is an orphan.
We not score, is hard to win. - Pavel Datsyuk #13

#95 FireCaptain

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Posted 27 March 2014 - 10:01 PM

Old stuff for safekeeping  - newest info HERE.

Today's (3/27/14) chance: 46.3%. 

What we need tonight (all %ages assume regulation win/loss) (red is status with undesired outcome):

 

Wings win                          (MTL win)      - +9.7%     (-14.2) 

Desert Dogs win                (NJD loss)     - +0.9%       (-1.7)  

 

Panthers win                     (CAR win)     - +0.1%       (-0.1) 

 

Current standing: 8th in the East - secondary wildcard spot (tied with CLB (ROW NOT in our favor) and WSH (ROW in our favor + game in hand)).

 

 

 

 

Sorry I'm a couple days behind, I've been out of pocket due to a death in the family. 


Most nights, my posts are brought to you by Heineken and sarcasm.
Success has a thousand fathers, failure is an orphan.
We not score, is hard to win. - Pavel Datsyuk #13

#96 sputman

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Posted 28 March 2014 - 05:47 AM

Today's (3/27/14) chance: 46.3%. 

 

 

I was 13 when they last missed the playoffs. I am... old now. I have to be honest these must win games over the last couple of years have been exciting. I'll take those over a dominant regular season team that flounders in the 1st round. 


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#97 DRW Dominance

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Posted 28 March 2014 - 06:32 AM

 

I was 13 when they last missed the playoffs. I am... old now. I have to be honest these must win games over the last couple of years have been exciting. I'll take those over a dominant regular season team that flounders in the 1st round. 

agreed....however I was 15.


naked is a state of mind

#98 Euro_Twins

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Posted 28 March 2014 - 07:15 AM

 
I was 13 when they last missed the playoffs. I am... old now. I have to be honest these must win games over the last couple of years have been exciting. I'll take those over a dominant regular season team that flounders in the 1st round. 



I was 2

#99 wingedominance13

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Posted 28 March 2014 - 07:25 AM

I was born during the 90-91 season... I have never known a life without the postseason. I do not want to know that life. Wings need to get another role here this weekend. 



#100 evilmrt

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Posted 28 March 2014 - 09:33 AM

If Philly and Pittsburgh (ugh) win tonight, that will bump the Wings back into the 50% territory. 







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