WingedWheel91 271 Report post Posted March 29, 2016 Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances Beat Buffalo 3-2, playoff odds up 4.3 to 50.6% 87 points 38 27-11 Back to being a 50% team with a .500 record.. This is a tough year to watch. LOL - I'd say after watching that game our chances went down by 4.3%. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WingedWheel91 271 Report post Posted March 29, 2016 7 games to go for us, not 6. For the Bruins it's 6, and that's the team to catch. Comparing the schedules, it really comes down to winning in Boston to get in, if you calculate the likely results for the other games: Boston: @Devils @Blues @Blackhawks vs Canes vs Wings vs Sens If you go with W-L-L-W-L-W, it's 6 more points for a final 94. Detroit: vs Sabres @ Habs vs Wild @Leafs vs Flyers @Bruins @Rangers Winning against the 3 lottery teams and the Bruins gives us 8 points, so it would be one more win (or two OT losses.. ) out of the three games against Wild, Flyers and Rangers to get to 95. Here's the problem: Boston has 6 games left, all staggered by 1 or 2 days of rest. We have 6 games left, but 3 of those games will be the 2nd game of a back-to-back played on the road. Including our most important game of the season on April 7th in Boston. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jacksoni 418 Report post Posted March 29, 2016 Here's the problem: Boston has 6 games left, all staggered by 1 or 2 days of rest. We have 6 games left, but 3 of those games will be the 2nd game of a back-to-back played on the road. Including our most important game of the season on April 7th in Boston. Early the 7th of april would be a great time for our guys to meet a local Boston dealer for some Meth. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
toby91_ca 620 Report post Posted March 29, 2016 The good news is that the Wings' schedule looks pretty easy the next 3 games, more challenging the last 3, but it's still against lower seeded teams other than the Rangers. You also want to be playing against the teams you are competing against for the playoffs towards the end (BOS and PHI) 1 krsmith17 reacted to this Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GMRwings1983 8,794 Report post Posted March 29, 2016 The good news is that the Wings' schedule looks pretty easy the next 3 games, more challenging the last 3, but it's still against lower seeded teams other than the Rangers. You also want to be playing against the teams you are competing against for the playoffs towards the end (BOS and PHI) The bad news is that we suck. 2 Ram and 13dangledangle reacted to this Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
matt198913 932 Report post Posted March 29, 2016 Wild are fighting for their lives and the Wings are a total disaster. It will come down to the last 3 games though. 2-1 record in those and most likely they are in. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DickieDunn 2,571 Report post Posted March 29, 2016 Doesn't matter. If we get in, we get in. Who cares how. I guess I don't. How you get in can set the tone for the first round. Fumble and stumble in and it's a bad sign that you're going to have your poop together. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
amato 3,210 Report post Posted March 29, 2016 How you get in can set the tone for the first round. Fumble and stumble in and it's a bad sign that you're going to have your poop together. Agree 100%. We really should be playing playoff caliber hockey already.. You want to hit the ground running right when the puck drops game one. I'd much rather stumble in than miss obviously, but both options are less than ideal.. We need to turn it around and fast. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DRW Dominance 255 Report post Posted March 30, 2016 there's no reason to believe that we are turning around anything. we keep hoping and saying this for every important game but nothing changes. we all need to face the fact that this team and it's style isn't working. 1 F.Michael reacted to this Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AtlantaHotWings 983 Report post Posted March 31, 2016 Ouch.... 38% http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Atlantic/Detroit.html So like Jim Carey in Dumb and Dumber I am saying sooo we still have a chance Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jacksoni 418 Report post Posted March 31, 2016 38% is more than twice of what I believe our odds are so I guess I won't complain. A week ago I said it's 50-50% just as the odds said. Today, I'd say it's 15%. All the back-to-backs, low morale and most importantly we have goalie problems. Just too much adversity coupled with a new head coach. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GMRwings1983 8,794 Report post Posted March 31, 2016 Ouch.... 38% http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Atlantic/Detroit.html So like Jim Carey in Dumb and Dumber I am saying sooo we still have a chance What would it be if we didn't choke against Montreal? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gordie Howe hat trick 110 Report post Posted March 31, 2016 What would it be if we didn't choke against Montreal? No kidding... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
matt198913 932 Report post Posted March 31, 2016 Only chance is to win all 5 and hope for some help Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WingedWheel91 271 Report post Posted March 31, 2016 Against my better judgment, I will try and be optimistic about our chances. DETROIT April 1st - VS MIN (This will be the 2nd game of a back to back, as well as the 3rd game in 4 nights for MIN) April 2nd - @ TOR (They have done way too much winning the past 2 weeks, currently sit in a 3 way tie for #1 overall in the draft lottery) April 6th - VS PHI (Among the 16 current playoff teams, PHI has registered the fewest road victories - 3 fewer than us) April 7th - @ BOS (This is what our season comes down too - BOS has lost 6 of its last 7 games) April 9th - @ NYR (This will be the last game of the season for both teams, very likely a game without standings implication for NYR) BOSTON April 1st - @ STL (STL has the 2nd most Points in the NHL, 8-2-0 in its past 10) April 3rd - @ CHI (CHI is 24-11-3 at home, Fighting to fend Nashville off) April 5th - VS CAR (Realistically, BOS probably wins this game) April 7th - VS DET (This is what their season comes down too - DET has been long overdue for a goal-tending performance from Mrazek) April 9th - VS OTT (Hopefully it doesn't come down to this) All in all, stranger things have happened 1 krsmith17 reacted to this Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AtlantaHotWings 983 Report post Posted March 31, 2016 No kidding... Mid 60s...lol But on the ever optimistic side IF we go 5-0 there is a 99.0% chance of making granted there is probably a 1% chance of this happening but it could I wonder if Delta will give me back my money for my airfare if I explain I bought the ticket to go see my wings in the second game of the first round. How was I supposed to know they would lay an egg against Montreal Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
krsmith17 7,191 Report post Posted March 31, 2016 If we were to go 5-0 (I don't expect us to) we would be in, regardless of what any other team does... We're 1 point back of Boston with one game remaining against them, so we would finish with 97 points and the most Boston would be able to get is 96... Regardless that game a week from today, could and likely will determine whether we get in or miss... 2 Aethernum and TheXym reacted to this Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
UpstateNYRedWingsFan 42 Report post Posted March 31, 2016 Where the 1% comes in is if the game went to OT. Boston would get 1 point and both would have 97 points and BOS has the tiebreaker. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
krsmith17 7,191 Report post Posted March 31, 2016 They wouldn't have the tie breaker though. The first tie breaker if I'm not mistaken would be ROW, and the Wings would have 41 and the Bruins would have 40... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Buppy 1,720 Report post Posted March 31, 2016 They wouldn't have the tie breaker though. The first tie breaker if I'm not mistaken would be ROW, and the Wings would have 41 and the Bruins would have 40... That's assuming all the wins are in regulation or OT. 1 krsmith17 reacted to this Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AtlantaHotWings 983 Report post Posted April 1, 2016 up .2 without playing so maybe we just dont play? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
matt198913 932 Report post Posted April 1, 2016 0 percent. Blashill just refuses to be smart. How in the blue hell can Ericsson still be playing, and here's an idea, that guy that's making our PP go and giving room for Datsyuk, let's not play him even more and put him on the fourth line. Sick of this team being run by Zetterberg and the veterans. Dump them Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
joesuffP 1,746 Report post Posted April 1, 2016 I'm usually pro Ericsson just because of how negative everyone is towards him I don't think he's that bad but switching him and Smith could be a pivotal moment for the defense. They have been completely awful down the stretch and with Marchenko up as a shut down guy I think we need smith in the lineup. Sitting Ericsson might smarten everyone up I also agree with Blash in moving AA and Mantha to the fourth line because their defense is nowhere near ready to be competitive top six players. Hopefully they get a lot of looks and I think Glendening has been great down the stretch providing a lot of energy. That should be a good line Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GMRwings1983 8,794 Report post Posted April 1, 2016 I still say roughly 10%. What would it be if Ericsson was benched for the last 5 games? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jacksoni 418 Report post Posted April 1, 2016 I still say Ericsson should be moved to forward, 3rd line for net front and corner presence only, and only when in the offensive zone. He can not be traded and we are dishing out 4+ million $ for him. Let him bleed until he retires. He will exceed in those two assignments. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
