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VM1138

Member Since 01 Jul 2007
Offline Last Active Today, 10:59 AM
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#2670701 Fixing this mess....

Posted by VM1138 on 18 April 2016 - 06:18 AM

One thing is clear in my mind: building through the draft doesn't work.  It takes 5-10 years to see if you even have anyone good enough, and if you don't you have to start over.  I feel like we only adopted the "build through the draft" narrative because we thought we had this pipeline of amazing players.

 

I think there can't be any one strategy you lean on more than the other. You win by trading, signing free agents and drafting.  And in sports, winning now is more important than maybe being competitive ten years from now.  It doesn't mean much to me when someone says how good we'll be 7 years from now, because if enough drafted players don't pan out (like they haven't for us) we would have wasted all that time.




#2670696 ECQF Game 3 Post-GDT: at Red Wings 2, Tampa Bay 0

Posted by VM1138 on 18 April 2016 - 06:05 AM

This is my prediction for the rest of the series, but first a disclaimer...
 
Anyone who has been around here for a while knows i'm always the positive one, i'm rarely negative, I always have faith in this team, I always predict they win and move on and drive forward. I've been watching this team for a very, long time, and this is going to be a first for me. You have been warned.
 
I think this was a bit of a fluke. Granted, Mrazek came in and played a good game for us tonight, but I am not confident at all going forward in this series. Knowing what I know and seeing what i've seen, this is how I see the rest of this series playing out.
 
Game 4 we get beat, bad. Like 5-0 or 6-1 bad. Just when we win a game, we get a bit excited, start thinking "We won one game, we win the next and it's a 2-2 series and back to a best of 3". They have a victory and fill us with a bit more confidence, that they can play hard, play with energy all game, and get a win against a team we aren't favored against. And then they move on to the next and just get embarrassed. 
 
Game 5 is a bit of a tease, maybe we start off down 1-0 or 2-0 and come back to tie it up, late in the first or early in the 2nd. Then the rest of the game we are shown why we aren't a team that is going beyond the first round, any ounce of hope is pulled away. They go up by a goal, we eventually tie it, followed by another opposition goal within two minutes flattening our hopes once again. We drop the game 5-3 or 5-4, outplayed most of the way, and pretty much put in our place and reminded why we likely shouldn't have gotten a spot in the playoffs to begin with.
 
I'm just being a realist and logical, we are in a somewhat of a rebuild, a lot of younger players given the chance but not used properly or enough on the ice. There is too much reliance on the veterans who have lost step, and aren't able to play a full series at full effort because they are past their prime, yet are still expected to play like they are 28 while robbing time from the guys who have earned it, deserve it, and should be out there winning games for us. 
 
I don't want to come off as cynical here, because that isn't me at all, but it's truly how I feel as a fan right now and what my expectations for the rest of the series are. I really, really hope they prove me wrong, but i've gotten my hopes up as the underdog way too many times and been disappointed at the end. Maybe a different approach will send some vibes to the team and they really pull this off, but i'm not holding my breath nearly as long this year. 
 
Still love this team and the direction it's going, but I've lost confidence and am ready for our youngsters to be used properly and the next phase of this team to begin dominating the NHL once again.


You aren't being negative. That's the pattern they've established many times this year. There's no reason to expect the Wings to string together four wins in five. They haven't shown consistency all year.

It was a good game, though.


#2670463 ECQF Game 3 GDT : Tampa Bay Lightning at Red Wings, 7:00 EST

Posted by VM1138 on 17 April 2016 - 08:03 PM

There is no reason after watching the first two periods they cannot win this game and series. Seriously. Young legs keep pushing and trolling center ice for lazy Tampa outlets. Wings winning 50/50 pucks and winning behind both red lines


We are reaping the benefits of being at home. It remains to be seen if we can win without the match ups in our favor.


#2670272 ECQF Game 3 GDT : Tampa Bay Lightning at Red Wings, 7:00 EST

Posted by VM1138 on 17 April 2016 - 07:17 PM

Refs basically giving us the game and we won't take it


It's going to suck when the makeup calls start coming in the third and lead to two or three Tampa goals.


#2670045 ECQF Game 3 GDT : Tampa Bay Lightning at Red Wings, 7:00 EST

Posted by VM1138 on 17 April 2016 - 04:05 PM

Just Read Khans tweet quoting Blashill "Smith is in, he can provide a spark, not sure who's out - will decide before warmups". Followed up by: "Smith hasn't been out because he was bad, he was out because I have 7 good Defenceman and I can only play 6"

LOL

I would argue that he has 1 or 2 Good Defenceman but has to play 6... As for the spark? Smith had 2 assists in his past 17 games before being scratched for a month...? Sure! throw him into the fire in a must win Game 3 - without knowing who your going to sit - because his offense is just too dynamic to ignore?

Am I missing something?


You don't sit for over a month because everyone else is good. You rotate in. Smith has sucked and Blashill's pathology games are transparent.


#2669959 ECQF Game 3 GDT : Tampa Bay Lightning at Red Wings, 7:00 EST

Posted by VM1138 on 17 April 2016 - 09:49 AM

No size in the top six for a game in which retaliation should be expected. Sounds smart.


#2669957 ECQF Game 3 GDT : Tampa Bay Lightning at Red Wings, 7:00 EST

Posted by VM1138 on 17 April 2016 - 09:45 AM

 
Hopefully not being benched for Pulkkinen...


If Pulks is playing but not Mantha, they might as well trade Mantha in the offseason.


#2669897 ECQF Game 2 Post-GDT: at Tampa Bay 5, Red Wings 2

Posted by VM1138 on 16 April 2016 - 09:51 PM

People have doubted Howard's ability to win in the playoffs for a reason. He's struggled with much better teams in front of him than he has now. There's no reason to expect him to change now so why lean on him without giving Mrazek a try?


#2669855 ECQF Game 2 Post-GDT: at Tampa Bay 5, Red Wings 2

Posted by VM1138 on 16 April 2016 - 06:28 PM

Compare the location of Wings' goals vs Tampa's goals. Three of our four goals have been from floaters from the point, and Larkin's breakaway goal. We are not producing around the crease, from the slot, or from the face off dots. They're boxing us out and we aren't hopping on rebounds, or in the case of game 1, we are simply shooting everything from these locations right into a body or wide of the net. Playoffs are won and lost in the area within five feet of the crease, and right now we're losing that battle. The wings have a plethora of issues to overcome but this is the most glaring to me.


In one of the games even NBC's commentator criticized the Wings on an attack for not having anyone within ten feet of Bishop when they fired the first shot. Get rebounds and you'll get goals.

And they ARE passive. It's like they expect close games and decide to sit back and wait for the other team to make an unforced error. There's no pressure to try and make Tampa make a mistake they can then take advantage of. And if the other team is better than you, they aren't going to make many mistakes without being pressured.

Same with the power play. They seem to be waiting for the perfect shot, or else just shoot it after three guys get in the way.

While it's maybe not ideal, that line has actually been pretty effective this year. Of the 15 line combos with 40+ minutes 5v5 this year, they're 4th in CF% and SF%, 5th in GF60. They've had some defensive trouble, being 11th in GA60 and 7th in GF%, but to say they don't work isn't accurate.
 
Fact is, there aren't any good combinations that don't rely on players just playing better than they have lately.
 
I would argue that Howard against Ana/Chi in '13 was much better than Mrazek last year, and the 3 games he played against Bos in '14 was also just as good or better. Mrazek was up and down last year. He was excellent in a few games, average in others. His performance last year is way over-rated.


Not in the playoffs he wasn't. Mrazek was amazing. Howard has had good games in the playoffs but always costs us a game. Boston was a prime example of "good in one or two games, mediocre the rest."


#2669848 ECQF Game 2 Post-GDT: at Tampa Bay 5, Red Wings 2

Posted by VM1138 on 16 April 2016 - 05:08 PM

Me, too. The PR machine has killed sports for me. Paul Woods in the radio is bad, too. We could have a ten million dollar player who hasn't scored a goal in three years and he would say the player was "very good and almost did score."

PR makes the pre and post game stuff garbage. I can't even read a lot of sports articles anymore. It's just so dull. All that's left is the actual game.


#2669703 ECQF Game 2 Post-GDT: at Tampa Bay 5, Red Wings 2

Posted by VM1138 on 15 April 2016 - 10:03 PM

Because this is the playoffs and you do what you have to in order to send a message or gai an advantage. It's not the time to be soft. This is hockey!


That type of stuff never "sent a message" to the Wings when they were beating a crappy team and said team started scrims. I doubt Tampa is going to be less physical after that.


#2669616 Was Moving To The East Worth It?

Posted by VM1138 on 15 April 2016 - 09:05 PM

I actually thought the high level competition and constant battling in the West helped keep us competitive. It might be a coincidence but it seems like the team got lazier after the switch.


#2669589 ECQF Game 2 GDT : Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning, 7:00 EST

Posted by VM1138 on 15 April 2016 - 08:59 PM

Yeah, Zetterbeeg, tap them all and tell them how well they played. Jeez.
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#2669507 ECQF Game 2 GDT : Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning, 7:00 EST

Posted by VM1138 on 15 April 2016 - 08:47 PM

Anyone gunna watch game three and four?


I'll still watch game 3, but if they go down by two by the end of the second I'm not finishing. And if they're down 0-3 in the series I'll be done. This team isn't competitive enough to spend three hours watching.


#2669480 ECQF Game 2 GDT : Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning, 7:00 EST

Posted by VM1138 on 15 April 2016 - 08:44 PM

Richards on the ice against the Johnson line again at even strength. Blashill is really, really bad.


Tampa has last change. They're exploiting our weaknesses, which is apparently super easy.