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Member Since 09 Oct 2007
Offline Last Active Yesterday, 11:03 AM

Posts I've Made

In Topic: Dekeyser/Tatar status update

Yesterday, 11:04 AM

I feel like both Tatar and DeKe are worth close to $2 million per on a short-term deal, and with these two players, it feels like the longer the deal, the more it favors the Red Wings.  That was not the case with someone like Damien Brunner, where one or two years at $2.5 to $3 million per seemed okay, but more money or more commitment felt like a massive risk, and that was essentially proven correct last year.


Tatar feels like a 30-goal scorer to me at some point in the near future.  He's not as valuable of an all-around player as Nyquist (who will be an insane deal for this year), but he's a legit scorer that seems like he has even more upside than he's shown.  


DeKeyser, I don't know.  We got him basically for free out of college, and all indications are that he can stick as a Top 4 NHL defenseman.  But the type of player he is will be more difficult to evaluate.  His stat lines already look better than Jonathan Ericsson's, but if he turned out to be a more durable version of Ericsson at a decent cap hit, I'd consider that a win for us.  He's from here and wants to play here, and at age 24, maybe they look to get him signed longer-term earlier than they will with some of these other kids.

In Topic: Red Wings & the Media

16 July 2014 - 12:55 PM

Wow, this article really opened my eyes to some things I hadn't thought about in detail.  To be fair, I don't live in Detroit anymore, so I had always assumed that there were sources of Red Wings access that I hadn't discovered.  I got on Twitter around 2010-ish and tried to figure out who all the good "follows" were.  There really weren't any.  Helene St. James does a decent job, but isn't much of a Twitter presence.  Ansar Khan is probably the closest thing people identified as a "beat writer" in the last few years, but he works for a publication that is barely a "publication", and he wasn't even on Twitter for years (and only sparingly now).  And when these people do report information (as the article said), it's generally the type of stuff you would see on the Wings' own site or NHL.com anyway.


Sports radio basically refuses to cover the team like they would cover football and baseball, but for that, they blame the fans ("the phone lines go dead as soon as we start a hockey topic").  The papers are either broke, or too cozy with the organization to call out the front office on anything.


It's made it really frustrating to be an out-of-market fan.  The national media perspective on the Wings is some kind of hybrid between "San Antonio Spurs" and "Notre Dame".  In other words, there's still a general reverence and respect for the history of the team and how they've stayed competitive at the same time...but at the same time, they're talked about derisively as this relic of a former era that has yet to come to terms with its current mediocrity.


Mike Russo of Star Tribune here in Minnesota is an AWESOME beat writer.  He has full access to the entire team (including the coaches, GM, and owner), a constant Twitter/blog presence, and yet will rip them as hard as anyone (directly or overtly) when the Wild make questionable moves or are playing poorly.  And this is NOT a market known for having a tough sports media.  


I can't help but feel that the absence of strong, passionate media figures (and especially those tied to the major networks and papers) has really been a detriment to the fan experience since late last decade, and probably earlier.   

In Topic: Tomas Jurco's Ridiculous New Stick Trick

15 July 2014 - 01:10 PM

The guy is an amazing talent - some of his stickhandling (at least in theory) is Datsyuk level stuff.  But he didn't look quite ready for the NHL last year.  8 goals in 36 games is absolutely acceptable, but he just a bit lost at times.  Certainly not a guy I would "give away" for a warm body defenseman in a trade, but I'm anxious to see if he can take another step next year, just as Nyquist and Tatar in what was their "3rd" (but more like 2nd) seasons last year.

In Topic: What is the plan with Mrazek?

11 July 2014 - 09:20 AM

This situation feels like a Jonathan Bernier situation to me - 20-year old goalie shows up for a few games and looks nearly NHL ready, but is blocked on the Kings and left to over-ripen in the minors.  He eventually gets traded.  I don't feel a trade is imminent, but with people bending over backwards to trade Tatar, it's funny Mrazek never comes up in trade discussions.


Tom McCollum is another complicating factor here because he turns 25 in December, and actually was pretty good last year.  There was a pretty comical moment where all the bloggers/reports started to report that the organization was going to let him go - it was about a 90-minute free-for-all of bloggers and beat reporters tweeting out every negative comment they'd sat on about McCollum for a few seasons...and then he was re-signed.


But McCollum, apparently, is an asset too, so you have assume that's approximately a 50/50 playing time share in Grand Rapids.  Mrazek played 32 games for GR and 9 for Detroit last season (41 total).  So, realistically, I'm not sure I buy the argument that he's getting significantly more game time for the Griffins than he would as a full-time backup on the Red Wings, where he could play maybe 25-35 games (figuring in likely injuries to Howie and Gustavsson).


I'm not saying it's "wrong" that he's in Grand Rapids, I get why they're doing it, but the playing time issue is worth pointing out.

In Topic: Red Wings Target Mike Green

10 July 2014 - 01:42 PM

I don't like the Mike Green thing for a number of reasons.  The first time I put serious though into it was when Yzerman and Babcock left him off 2010 Team Canada despite the fact he was basically the leading scoring defenseman at that time.  Feel free to peruse these numbers - two things stand out:




First, the durability is a major concern.  Everyone keeps saying "this is David Legwand" all over again because of the rental aspect, but it also may be Stephen Weiss.  He has knee problems and played 3 straight years without making 50 games (okay, so one was a lockout year, but you get my point).

Second, his playoff numbers are crap.  That would concern me less except for the fact that the offensive production is the whole POINT to a Mike Green, as nobody seems to think he's actually good at defense.  I'll buy the whole "puck possession = defense" argument, but that's a systemic problem, and Green is prone to getting caught and making horrible mental errors.


Finally, I just don't agree with the strategy of acquiring him.  Even if his rental status lowers the price, this team is not "one Mike Green" away from a Cup.  Maybe there's name like Jeff Petry out there who will help rebuild this core without necessarily being a "Top 2" defenseman (and won't cost a top prospect).  I know that Tatar is not a surefire "star", but other than Anthony Mantha, we're unlikely to luck into a ringer.  We're going to need a depth of quality players that can score a bit, and a one-year patch on defense doesn't address the longer-term issue.