Here's the update, as of April 22nd:
Columbus and Dallas have been trending plenty better than the Wings and Wild over the past 10, but at this point the Wings have the supposed advantage of games in hand.
Columbus has the fewest games remaining at two, one of which is against Dallas. The best the Wings can hope for is a game ending in regulation there, and Nashville to beat them in the last game of the season, which may very well decide whether the Wings are in or out, regardless of what we do in our last few games.
Dallas plays at San Jose, who has played well of late, before finishing against Columbus and Detroit. Head-to-head to end the season is a REAL must win. Whoever loses is out.
The Wings have a game in hand on both Dallas and Minnesota. Minnesota hasn't been playing good down the stretch, much like the Wings, but their final 3 games are against the Kings and bottom-feeders Edmonton and Colorado. Assuming they don't play down to their competition like the Wings, we can assume we won't make up the 3 point spread over our last 4.
Columbus can land at 51-55 points (needs win against DAL to stay alive)
Minnesota can land at 51-57 points (controls their own destiny)
Dallas can land at 48-54 points (needs wins against both CBJ and DET to stay alive)
Detroit can land at 48-56 points (needs win against DAL bad)
Detroit currently has the tie breaker on Columbus, but not Dallas or Minnesota.
Detroit has 3 of 4 at home, but one back-to-back.
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