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Jesusberg

Member Since 14 Mar 2009
Offline Last Active Yesterday, 12:10 PM
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#2666878 Mantha

Posted by Jesusberg on 10 April 2016 - 04:07 PM

This line from Holland. Just... wow: http://www.detroitne...yoffs/82866748/
 

 

 

“Anthony Mantha was a spare part in the (AHL) Calder Cup playoffs a year ago. Why does anyone think he is going to be the answer in Detroit?”

 

I don't get the thought process behind saying something like that. At all.




#2664755 Forward Line Combos/Discussion

Posted by Jesusberg on 06 April 2016 - 12:34 PM

Just a guess on my part, but I think it comes down to Blashill swapping Richards for Mantha, and now deciding to use Sheahan on the 2nd PP unit. That leaves Mantha with limited minutes on the 4th line, and no usage on special teams. Unlike Athanasiou, Mantha doesn't strike me as a guy who's going to have much of an impact playing 6-8 minutes. The fans might not like it, but it's the way Blashill's positioned him for the time being.

That said, I don't get why Blash seems so insistent on double dipping with his players. Now it's Abdelkader and Sheahan playing on both the PP and PK, with Abdelkader ranked 2nd in SH TOI/GP for over a month now. In that span, the team's PK is 25th overall in the league. You can attribute the issues to any number of things, but I can see how overusing Abdelkader might be one of them.

It's not like this team is void of dependable PK guys - use AA a little on the 2nd PK unit. Heck, at the very least, use Helm more. He's proven to be a capable penalty killer over the years - he has that "resume". It's probably the biggest gripe I have with Blashill - he seems to try to "play it safe" too often, and goes back to the same well over and over. Hopefully that changes as he and the team adjust to each other.

Edit: It took Abdelkader being in the box, but...




#2663910 2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

Posted by Jesusberg on 02 April 2016 - 10:27 AM

The Leafs are starting Sparks tonight. Bernier had a 1.92 GAA, and .938 Sv% in March, which includes his shutout against Detroit. It sure feels like Babcock is throwing the Wings a softball here.




#2663727 4/1 GDT : Minnesota Wild at Red Wings, 7:30 ET

Posted by Jesusberg on 01 April 2016 - 05:59 PM

Honestly, it doesn't matter where Athanasiou and/or Mantha slot in. Their ice time is going to stay the same because of how Blashill utilizes them in relation to special teams. Mantha gets a few minutes more because of the power play.

Glendening's minutes are where they are because spends far too much time on the penalty kill, and because Blash decides to use him when he shortens the bench late in games.

Edit: Looks like Dubnyk's in for the Wild tonight. I expect them to have a lot of jump after last night. Wings need to survive early.




#2663686 Fixing this mess....

Posted by Jesusberg on 01 April 2016 - 01:08 PM

I think I'll just conserve my energy for next season. I'm less than thrilled with the team, but there's no quick fix to the situation. The only real changes I see next year are letting Quincey (Ouellet on roster) and Richards go (UFA or someone from within for the fourth line - Nosek, possibly?). Depending on where the salary cap is, I could see them bringing Helm back into the fold. He's likely to be overpaid for his role on the team, though.

Outside of that, most of the changes need to come from within. Blame Holland, Blashill, Ferschweiler, whoever you want - it doesn't really make a difference, but it probably feels good to do it. I'd wager that at the end of the day, they're going to attribute missing the playoffs to the league being really tight, and the poor power play numbers. I don't think missing the playoffs is going to be the wake-up call some fans believe it could be. Am I upset? Yeah. Do I have ideas about what I'd prefer to see over what's going on now? Absolutely. Neither of those have any impact on what's going to happen with this team, and to be honest, I think we're in for some frustration for the next 2-3 seasons.




#2662515 Fixing this mess....

Posted by Jesusberg on 28 March 2016 - 11:54 AM

Dickie, Nyquist and Tatar are quality secondary players whether you want to admit it or not. Their advanced stats are very good for what is expected of them and they provide offense. They production has dipped a little but I think that's more to do with the rest of the team than them individually... I'm not that high on Pulkkinen but he certainly hasn't peaked, and he still has room to grow as a player. I don't think it's fair to say "he is what he is" before he's even been given a chance... Jurco will be fine. Everything else I agree with. The vets shouldn't be leaned on near as much as they have been and the kids should get more ice time. There is no reason Athanasiou and Mantha should both be scratched for entire third periods...


Agreed. Nyquist has 28 EVP his season. Last season? 30. The power play has hurt him, big time.

As far as Tatar is concerned, his shot totals from 2014-15 to 2015-16 are down from 211 to 152. I'd wager that having your playing time trimmed down by nearly two minutes might have that effect, though.

Not making excuses for either guy, but it's not really fair to place the blame on them as individuals.




#2662508 Fixing this mess....

Posted by Jesusberg on 28 March 2016 - 11:25 AM

I'm not entirely sure how to fix the mess, but I do know a few things:

1. The powerplay is an atrocious mess that should have been fixed awhile back. They've done next-to-nothing to change it up all season long. A number of the players have similar EV point totals compared to last season's, but they PP has really hurt the offensive totals for most on the team.

2. There's no way they should be leaning on Datsyuk and Zetterberg as heavily as they have. Through February, both guys (along with Abdelkader) were playing 20+ minutes a night. They were 4th and 5th in the league in time on ice. It's gone down this month, but only because Blash separated them. When your primary, go-to offense guys aren't getting it done, try leaning on some of the younger guys.

3. As critical as I've been of Smith in the past, there's no way he should be sitting. He drives possession on this team. Blashill's system is suited for players with wheels. When I look at this defensive corps, I don't see many players well-suited for Blash's system. If you're not going to change it up, make better use of the players who CAN play within your system.




#2661264 All Purpose Grand Rapids Griffins Thread

Posted by Jesusberg on 21 March 2016 - 02:20 PM

Nice to see Tangradi sticking around. Figured he'd help out GR's top-six when he was signed in the summer, but he's done better than I expected. Hope Miele follows suit - a couple of good vets to have around the prospects.

http://detroit.cbslo...-for-two-years/




#2661251 Marchenko vs. Smith

Posted by Jesusberg on 21 March 2016 - 10:57 AM

Marchenko's had a real rough go as of late, and the underlying numbers support that. I was actually thinking that Quincey's looked rough lately as well, and the numbers also support that. Either way, Smith drives possession - I'd keep him in. Go numbers.




#2660929 Forward Line Combos/Discussion

Posted by Jesusberg on 19 March 2016 - 05:40 PM

Guess they were just messing around in practice?
 

The #RedWings lines in pregame: Abdelkader-Zetterberg-Larkin; Tatar-Datsyuk-Mantha; Nyquist-Sheahan-Athanasiou; Helm-Glendening-Richards.




#2660888 Forward Line Combos/Discussion

Posted by Jesusberg on 19 March 2016 - 07:59 AM

I don't mind the move, honestly. I'm not the biggest Helm fan, but it makes sense. He's not the ideal NFP, but he's one of the best guys on the team at getting to loose pucks around the net and creating issues for the oppositions defense. If he's around/behind the net jarring pucks free, it means Mantha's going to have more time to focus on getting open.

At this point, AA is going to get the same amount of minutes wherever he's at. It has more to do with special teams than anything else. He strikes me as a guy who does less with more right now, anyway.




#2658428 3/10 GDT : Winnipeg Jets at Red Wings, 7:30 EST

Posted by Jesusberg on 10 March 2016 - 01:47 PM

I'm glad Blash is finally tweaking the lines. He's been leaning on the top line and Glendening far too much in the past month. Hopefully this will balance out the minutes and provide an offensive spark. I'd still consider swapping Abdelkader and Nyquist, though.

Either way... line juggling, first game of a three-game home stand and Mrazek getting a chance to get back on track. Feels like an ideal game to start moving in the right direction, doesn't it?




#2658427 Marchenko vs. Smith

Posted by Jesusberg on 10 March 2016 - 01:42 PM

At this point, I don't think it should even be Smith vs. Marchenko. Sit one of the veteran guys. At the very least, it might serve as a wake-up call to one of them. 




#2656085 Defense pairs

Posted by Jesusberg on 28 February 2016 - 12:08 PM

I see where the underlying numbers have their place, but as others have alluded to, QoC isn't always factored in. 

Sometimes I get tired of seeing people (not you guys, the bloggers, etc.) preaching on about how great "Player X" is and that it's just a matter of time. If his underlying numbers are based on third pairing duties, they might not necessarily translate if he were given a larger role. There are just a lot of factors that people leave out when discussing analytics (Again, not directed toward you, Buppy. Just a general comment about how people sometimes lean on them too much, IMO)




#2655649 Jakub Kindl traded to Panthers

Posted by Jesusberg on 27 February 2016 - 05:38 PM

 

What is he worth then? He falls right into the value of what similar players make. Just because you don't like him doesn't make his value less. I hate to tell you but 4 million is a pretty pedestrian cap hit these days. Similar players in his range are Emelin, Larson, Brodin, Tanev, Coburn....Would I prefer some of these guys over E?? sure I would but his cap hit is right where it should be.  


I never said anything about disliking Ericsson. You don't have to tell me what guys of his ilk make - I'm fully aware.

What I am saying is that the term of his deal, and his cap hit limit the team in several ways. There are better players to be signed (Quincey, right now) and prospects who should be getting a shot in the next season or two. There are also players on the roster, currently, who should play over Ericsson, IMO. I'm not harping on Ericsson, I'm just not a fan of the situation.

I don't fault Ericsson for his contract, I fault Ken Holland for giving it to him.