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Richdg

Member Since 03 May 2012
Offline Last Active Yesterday, 08:07 PM
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Topics I've Started

Improving our 5 on 5 play....

11 May 2015 - 09:43 PM

The past couple of years we have struggled in 5 on 5 hockey. We have had a pretty good power play and not bad on the PK. We have been in the desired 110+ when you combine the 2 %'s together. But in 5 on 5 we haven't been very good.

Using the advanced metrics (I am not the biggest fan of such things, but they do help rank things) here are our forwards and how they rank amoung all F with 750 mins of 5 on 5 time:

 

Cole 46-injured and UFA

Datsyuk 54

Tatar 118

Abby 136

Z 163

Nyquist 166

Sheahan 175

 

http://stats.hockeya...CT&sortdir=DESC

 

Now the question is why? Then the follow up is, how do we improve? The why of course is opinion. Mine is we don't have anyone with super skills. IE No one with the speed that scares and burns, or no one with the power and strength to scare. Both work.

Now Cole is gone. That is why I added Sheahan as the 6th. One of the ways to improve is to not have him as a top 6 forward. Same with Helm. Both have played in the top 6 at times this year. Heck I still don't think Abby should be in our top 6.

We also don't get enough out of our D. Using the same standards, here is how our Dmen rank for 1000 mins played of 5 on 5 time:

 

Dekeyser 27

KFQ 67

Kronwall 70

Ericsson 107

 

Now in simple math there should be 180 top 6 forwards and 120 top 4 Dmen. Of course many teams don't really have 6 real top 6 forwards or 4 true top 4 Dmen. A few teams have more than 6 F's and/or 4 top 4 D's.

Just using these numbers one could say we have no #1 Dman, a #2 in Dekeyser, a #3 in Kronwall, and a #4 in Ericsson. That isn't horrible. Of course finding a true #1 is very hard to do.

The F group is in some ways worse. Only Datsyuk is a clear top line F, when healthy. Tatar is a second line guy. Nyquist, Z, and Abby are more borderline guys for a second line. Sheahan really is a 3rd line guy.

The plus side is these guys are very good on the PP. Datsyuk was 2nd in the NHL on the PP. Z was 16, Nyquist 22, Tatar 35, Abby 88th, and Sheahan was 133. This tells me that at best we have 4 guys that are legit top 6 forwards on the team. Not a real surprise. many of us have wondered why Abby is playing in the top 6. This then means we need 2 top 6 forwards. Either prospects that step up or UFA/trades.

This means we need 3 primetime players that are very costly to pick up. Yikes. The good news is, we don't have to do it all at once. We do have to do it by the time the 2017/18 season starts. That is the season after Datsyuk's contract expires. Of course by then Z and Kronwall will be about done as well. That makes 6 big time players needed over the next 3 off summers. 2 Dmen and 4 forwards.

 

Had to edit for a math error. Need 4 F, not 3.


DD starting to get the love....

13 February 2015 - 08:22 PM

last year I started saying that Dekeyser was our best defensive defenseman. Now others have joined the bandwagon. a very nice story by the Hockey Writers.

 

of course I can't get the link to work......... Just go to www.thehockeywriters.com and then look up the story.......


2015 Draft

03 February 2015 - 10:24 AM

Yup. It is that time of year. Still a fuzz early to know where we will pick, but most of us would be safe saying between 20-30. We have 6 picks IIRC: a 1,3,4,5,6,7. No second. 

As an organization we are still the weakest at F, but we are back to where there isn't a pressing need to go with a F in the 1st. That being said the talent from 20-30 kinda lends us to taking one. 

So some names to watch once we are on the clock:

 

Jordan Greenway 6-5/225 LW He is big, strong, tough, has good skill and soft hands.

Alexander Dergechev 6-4/200 C Known for his vision, oft hands, and he uses his size to bull his way around the offensive zone.

Thomas Novek 6-1/180 C Great 2 way player, who plays with great speed and enegy. Very good play maker-average shot.

Filip Ahl 6-4/215 LW. Big hulking Swede with good skating ability and a cannon for a shot. Needs to work on his intensity and urgency on the ice.

Mackenzie Blackwood 6-4/205 G. Very athletic big G. Needs to work on his puck handling, but other than that should be a very good NHL G in about 5 years. 

 

Those are the guys that I would be thinking about. in fact I would even go so far is to focus on Novek as the 1A with Greenway as a 1B. The RW's have shown great love for puck controlling 2 way players, and he is very good at those things. he is a guy that 3-5 years from now would be in the same range size wise as Sheehan and Larkin. 3 C's all 6-2/205 or so. Not a bad group. No true #1's but 3 guys that all could be legit #2's. Guys that also are good at getting the puck to our wingers who are/could be, very pretty good snipers: Nyquist, tatar, Pulk, mantha, etc....

 

I know some are going to love Ahl-the whole Swedish thing and all, but he reminds me of Franzen. What of course none of us know is, what size is his heart? No idea. 

 

Will work my way through some other names of interest later on. 


More Mantha stuff.....

11 December 2014 - 04:12 PM

no I can't say the who, whats when where why's...... So, he is a very humble kid. Mantha openly admits he hasn't adjusted to the AHL game yet. he is surprised at the difference in speed, strength, roughness etc.... wasn't expecting it to be as big a difference. Mantha thinks he needs a full year in GR. He is fully aware that the entire AHL targets him when he steps on the ice. the other teams game plan for him every shift. 

 

Of course all of this is good to hear/see. The game of adjustments is what makes or breaks most pro athletes. can they see what the other teams are doing and then adjust their game to counter it. 


In an odd way.....

21 November 2014 - 09:22 AM

Because it is early in the season, in an odd way I actually look forward to Griffins games more than RW games atm. It is the young talent - Mantha that I am really looking forward to watching. Hell I don't even care about the Griffs record. Just that Mantha, Pulk, Oullett, Sproul, AA, etc... have good games. Of course if they all are, the record will take care of itself. If we can find 2-3 more studs like Mantha over the next couple of years, then by 2020 we will be legit SC contenders again.