Nineteen

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Everything posted by Nineteen

  1. Nineteen

    You're the GM

    I'll play, I kinda like Washington and hope for the best for Ovechkin. It should be pretty easy with their quality kids although a lot will depend on which Theodore they get. Boudreau had a lot to do with their success last year and the only major change will be in goal. I expect them to give an improved Tampa a run for the Southeast. A full season out of Clark, Pothier, and Nylander should help, but they need to improve on defense like much of the East. They were tied for 9th in scoring last year but in the bottom half in goals against but they played much better in front of Huet after the deadline. The only players scheduled to become UFAs after this coming season are Brashear, Johnson, and Kozlov. Not even ten players over 28 years old. Nylander and Brashear are the oldest at 36. Forwards already under contract: Ovechkin- 9,538,462 Nylander- 4,875,000 Semin- 4,600,000 Clark- 2,633,333 Kozlov- 2,500,000 Backstrom- 2,400,000 Brashear- 1,200,000 Bradley- 1,000,000 Fleischmann- 725,000 Steckel- 512,500 Giroux- 487,500 Defensemen: Green- 5,250,000 Poti- 3,500,000 Pothier- 2,500,000 Alzner- 1,675,000 (will be a rookie) Schultz- 736,889 Jurcina- 881,250 Erskine- 537,500 Morrisonn- RFA (Offer sheet 1 Million+) Goaltenders: Theodore- 4,500,000 Johnson- 812,500 Total on Goalies is 5.3 Million Total under current or expected contracts: 53.3 Million Cap is at 56.8 Million, cap space is 3.5 Million Now that I've done the research it appears as though they are pretty set, close to the cap and just waiting for their extremely young players to break out, the difficulty will be keeping them all together long-term. Armchair GM says they could use a veteran presence, someone like maybe Brendan Shanahan, if he would leave NY his salary would fit. Secondary scoring is maybe the Caps' biggest problem with only 3 forwards scoring more than 20 goals last year, although injuries to Clark and Nylander may have been the biggest reason. They have so many young players with potential that trading for a goal-scoring second liner should be doable, maybe Mike Knuble who only has one year left at Philly and would fit no problem (although Philly is set on young D prospects). Fedorov came in and played well while he was there, if he enjoyed playing there he would be worth adding at a significantly reduced salary from his 6 million+ of last year, between the 2 million they supposedly offered and the 4 million he thinks he's worth. To them he's probably worth just over 3 million. I'm a big fan of Jason Smith, and I think his veteran presence would certainly help the young blueliners, he would certainly be affordable and could solidify their top 4 with two gritty vets and two younger offensive-minded guys. A gritty left-handed top 4 would be welcomed. Berard would be a risk, but could have a good season with some youngsters and a healthy year. Knowing that Defense wins championships they might consider trading for Schneider. He could be had for very cheap, and provides what they're looking for, however they would likely lose Fedorov unless they managed to wait till the deadline or lose salary somewhere else. Go after Feds and a vet Dman, but if he won't take less than 4 million, trade for Schneider and a pick and let the young forwards play.
  2. Nineteen

    Ken Campbell: Expect Hossa to Stay

    I don't think having two Lidstroms would be that bad, it would take a little sting out of losing Hossa. Dats really is a steal, and it would be beyond belief to have either Hossa or Z take his salary long term, but even if they don't Holland could get them all under the cap with a little of his magic.
  3. Nineteen

    Wings current rank

    This statistic set is based entirely on contribution to the team, players are punished for having better teammates. Just because Ozzie is slightly less responsible for the Wings' success than LaBarbara is for the Kings' does not at all mean LaBarbara is better. For Osgood to have a similar contribtution to LaBarbara he would have to post ridiculous numbers. Any goalie for the Red Wings will have a lower value to the team because the rest of the team is worth more, that does not make them worse. According to these stats Mathieu Garon was more valuable to Edmonton than Huet (Who led his team to the playoffs and had a better save %) was to the Canadiens/Caps based on his shootout performances alone (meaning it doesnt matter if Garon played a single minute of actual hockey). From what I can figure, the stats appear to be a combination of total # of saves, save %, and shootout saves. Fleury, like Osgood, is outside the top 20 because he saw too few shots. While these stats paint a decent picture, I believe thay fail to really show who the better goaltenders are. While stats are fun, they have to be grounded in reality. The shootout is given ridiculous importance in this set and I have a problem with it being based entirely on this past regular season. According to the numbers given, Devereaux is a more valuable player than Draper, Meech, Maltby, Howard, Kopecky, Stuart, Ericsson, Helm, McCarty, and Downey. I would dare argue that I would rather have every single one of them over Devereaux, even Downey and Helm who apparently contributed negatively to the Wings. When comparing skaters from different teams, these stats obviously don't mean much. You can base your top 5 goalies on raw number of saves, save %, and shootouts from this past regular season, but don't pretend that that list is any better than anyone else's. I personally would place Osgood top 5 based on his willingness to take any role and any salary the team needs him to, his playoff stats, his pummeling of Roy, his goal against the Whale, and his 3 CUPS. Osgood has what it takes to win, regardless of his stats. They can have Vokoun. I'm sorry if this seems harsh aand I know this isn't really my fight, but as an economist I'm not a fan of improperly used statistics. I'll contribute something I suppose: Top 5 Active Goalies: 1. Brodeur 2. Turco 3. Nabokov 4. Osgood 5. Lundqvist 5. Giguere
  4. Nineteen

    NHL rejects Erat's contract with Predators

    It actually has nothing to do with the overall value of the contract or its duration, just the fluctuation throughout. He will likely end up with the same contract only with salary more evenly distributed from year to year.