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Everything posted by kipwinger
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I mean, it doesn't seem bad at first glance. But then you remember that Xavier Ouellet put up 60 pts in juniors. Sproul put up 66pts. Both seem pretty far ahead of Hague when they were at that level and they don't contribute regularly in the NHL. Granted, nobody is heralding Hague as an offensive guy, I realize that. But chances are his offense will be minimal at higher levels, which makes me very wary of him as a top ten pick (so I agree with you). I'm guessing that if the kid weren't 6'6 he wouldn't even be a first rounder, but as we all know scouts tend to get stupified by the size factor. Hell, Jordan Sambrook put up 40pts this season in the OHL, and Detroit picked him in the 5th round last year.
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The more I watch Ryan Ellis dominating in the playoffs for Nashville, the more I really want the Wings to take Cale Makar with the 9th pick. Nothing about his size is a worry for me at this point. I want that dynamism from the defense.
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No thanks. Doesn't score much, and some scouting reports say skating is an issue. Big, slow footed defensemen, without much scoring are a thing of the past. I'd take Makar or Liljegren first.
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I can't really speak about Petersson, having never seen him play (or even bothered to look into the guy), but in general I'm very wary of anybody with dubious skating. That's not to say his skating (if indeed it is a problem) can't improve. But when I look at the teams doing well in the playoffs right now the thing I notice most is speed. Pittsburgh, Nashville, St. Louis, Edmonton, Ottawa, New York, and even Anaheim are all REALLY fast and play with incredible pace. Going forward, in today's game, I'd be really worried about taking someone who doensn't skate well. This is especially true for defensemen (which I realize Petersson is not). Look at what a game changer Nashville's defense is. They're insane. I just don't think there's any future for slower, grinding, type teams. Even if they're HUGE, I think you live and die in transition these days.
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I don't really think that's the case though. Grand Rapids isn't teeming with quality NHL-level center prospects. Only Holmstrom has a realistic chance of ever playing in the NHL regularly. Guys like Lorito and Street aren't in anybody's plans for the future, so I'd expect that if Ejdsell chose Detroit he'd go right to Grand Rapids. What he does there is anybody's guess, but I think that given our lack of quality center prospects (or centers at the NHL level) that his path to the big club is not noticeably different with Detroit than it would be with most other teams.
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@Buppy, good luck sorting this out lol.
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Yeah, I completely agree that is the more likely scenario. But I can't help but think about the Bertuzzi and Givani Smith picks here. In both those cases the Wings brass saw something they really liked in those kids games and were willing to take them earlier than expected. I'm not saying they do, but say they really like something about Cody Glass (for example), I can see them attempting to move up knowing that other teams may be more willing to move back a few spots given how bunched together the prospects are.
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I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility that we move up in this draft (provided there's a player we really like in the 4-7 range). Given how bunched together the prospects are after Patrick and Hischier, I think GM's might be more willing to fall back a few picks for an extra pick later. And we've got a bunch of those. Either way, we're still going to get a pretty good player at 9th. Excluding European players you've still got... 1. Patrick 2. Hischier 3. Vilardi 4. Mittelstadt 5. Rasmussen 6. Glass 7. Tippet 8. Tolvanen 9. Makar 10. Suzuki Add Liljegren and Heiskanen (two of the better defensemen in the class) and anybody 4-8 above could fall to us. I'm fairly interested to see how the plays out.
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Saw that coming.
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I'm just going to leave this here... http://www.stream2watch.cc/live-television/united-states/nbc-live-stream
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Kucherov says some Tampa players "got their money and stopped working"
kipwinger replied to Wing Across The Pond's topic in General
Lefty, you're being disingenuous here. People give you s*** because you said this over and over again about Franzen, to whom it never, ever, applied. He scored 59 pts. in his contract year, and then scored just as well or better over the next 5 years after the contract was signed. You incessantly harped on his "signing a big contract and then never playing up to it" while his points per game remained the same. The only thing that changed was the amount of time he missed due to injury. You're acting like you made a blanket statement and are now pretending to be vindicated. In reality, you said it repeatedly about one very specific case, and people gave you s*** because you were demonstrably wrong about it. -
Dude, that statement is WAY truer than you think it is. It happens to me ALL THE TIME.
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I do think that teams often promote home town heros to positions they haven't earned (yet), because they like the guys, want to take care of them, or think it will be popular. There's a reason why Sakic runs the Avs, Hull ran the Stars, Stevens was in charge in New Jersey, Lowe and McTavish in Edmonton, and so on. It does happen. But I don't think that means that other guys from outside the old boy network aren't getting chances either. Kyle Dubas, Ryan Martin, the aforementioned Chayka, are all on the rise right now in their respective organizations. I'm sure there are more if I dug in a little bit because analytics is on the rise and is ushering these guys into organizations. BUT, while these guys didn't play NHL hockey, they aren't exactly "average joes" either. They've all got years and years of training in things like statistical analysis, econometrics, organizational theory, etc. A regular fan lacks the experiential knowledge of the player, and has nothing close to the specialized knowledge these guys have. So it's unclear what equities they'd bring to bear on scouting (for example) beyond "well I watch a lot of hockey", which is true of all these guys too.
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This is my life. I spend about 14 hours a day doing policy analysis for the Federal Government, and you would be amazed how many goofballs think they know more about this stuff than they do, and want to argue with you about it. People don't realize the amount of information they AREN'T privy to because they (reasonably) spend all their time thinking about the information they ARE, and they begin to think they know a whole lot more than they do. Not their fault, you only know what you're capable of knowing. But there's likely quite a lot about playing NHL hockey that you need to have played at that level to understand. Information you and I aren't privy to because we can only speculate about it. For the casual fan, thinking about what makes a player successful in the NHL is almost entirely theoretical. And in some areas, like talent scouting in any industry, you need people with experiential knowledge IMO.
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I may have missed it but I'm curious who you like in the draft? Assuming we pick around the 7 spot that is.
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I don't think they wanted to create divisional rivalries as much as they wanted to utilize divisional rivalries to entice fans to watch the first couple rounds of the playoffs. People usually don't pay that much attention to other teams until the conference finals. I think having Pens/Caps (for example) earlier in the playoffs was just a way to get people to tune in to the earlier rounds.
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Signed Frans Nielson signs 6 year $5.25m AAV contract with Detroit
kipwinger replied to Jedi's topic in General
So you're in favor of bringing someone like Miller or Ott back or no? I'm confused. Because if something doesn't matter you can take two approaches. 1: Do it anyway, because it doesn't hurt anything. 2: Don't do it because there's no utility in doing so? -
Signed Frans Nielson signs 6 year $5.25m AAV contract with Detroit
kipwinger replied to Jedi's topic in General
The 13th forward spot IS A ROSTER SPOT. If I have to explain why having Ott as your 13th forward stops you from having Bertuzzi has your 13th forward then you're too obtuse to even bother with. Now you're advocating signing him only to then waive him? Brilliant. I'm done. You win. -
Signed Frans Nielson signs 6 year $5.25m AAV contract with Detroit
kipwinger replied to Jedi's topic in General
YES! Now you're catching on. Other teams, with better core players, might find our depth players more useful than we do. And since we don't have that kind of a team right now, it's more beneficial to us to play kids, see what we have in them, and move out veteran underachievers WHILE WE'RE REBUILDING OUR CORE. Not, as you seem to be advocating, bringing back aging veterans on the back end of their careers and leaving potential future Wings in the minors. It's really not that hard. I'll break it down for you really simply. Abby is a better player than Ott. So replace Ott with Abby on the fourth line. Then replace Abby with Svech (or Frk) on the 3rd line, since it's likely they'll produce better offense than he did. And have Bertuzzi as a spare forward, learning the pro game, and filling in during injuries. THAT would be an improvement because you've replaced two players with BETTER players in their given roles. -
Signed Frans Nielson signs 6 year $5.25m AAV contract with Detroit
kipwinger replied to Jedi's topic in General
Well, saying "we're not a better team with them" is not the same thing as saying they're "useless". They're NHL players. Obviously they aren't "useless". But we aren't a very good team with those guys. So maybe, just maybe, we should try to find different, better, players with which to rebuild our team and make it better. Again, novel idea. -
Signed Frans Nielson signs 6 year $5.25m AAV contract with Detroit
kipwinger replied to Jedi's topic in General
Yes. I would be 100% against bringing back either Vanek or Smith at this point. Sounds like you'd really like to just re-sign this year's team and give it another go eh? Smith, Vanek, and Ott. Good call. That worked wonders for us this year. -
Signed Frans Nielson signs 6 year $5.25m AAV contract with Detroit
kipwinger replied to Jedi's topic in General
You know which players I "like"? Good ones. Not washed up veterans. Our team is FULL of spare parts. Why sign another one? It would "hurt" because we have kids who are supposed to be part of our future. And to get them on the team we need roster spots. And you seem intent on giving one of those spots to a guy who obviously doesn't make our team better (we've already tried, remember?), and who definitely Isn't going to help us down the road. I"m not sure why this isn't clear. YES we absolutely should be "plugging" holes with kids to see which ones will work out. It worked with Jensen didn't it? MAYBE Frk or Bertuzzi won't pan out. That remains to be seen. But we aren't going to know whether they will or won't if they don't get the opportunity. We ALREADY KNOW that we're not a better team with Steve Ott. It's not like he's an unknown quantity. -
Signed Frans Nielson signs 6 year $5.25m AAV contract with Detroit
kipwinger replied to Jedi's topic in General
You're right. I have a personal vendetta against a man I've never met. That makes WAY more sense than that I don't see the point in needlessly signing an aging free agent who isn't noticeably better (or better at all) than anyone currently on our team and whose presence on the roster would prohibit a younger player from gaining much needed NHL development. Good thinking. I think it's hilarious that a guy who said "Stevie O is the man" is accusing me of having a personal bias. Nice try. -
Signed Frans Nielson signs 6 year $5.25m AAV contract with Detroit
kipwinger replied to Jedi's topic in General
I'm not advocating signing a "Gagner type". We've already got a better center on our team. Helm. And I never once advocated "promoting Bertuzzi to the 3rd line". I advocated putting Frk and Svech on the 3rd line. If you're going to argue with me maybe you should actually read my previous posts. Just to reiterate. Nyq-Z-Mantha Tatar-Larkin-AA Frk-Neilsen-Svech Glen-Helm-Abby Bertuzzi Sheahan -
Signed Frans Nielson signs 6 year $5.25m AAV contract with Detroit
kipwinger replied to Jedi's topic in General
Yes. Unless you're advocating signing him and then not playing him. In which case, why bother?