kipwinger

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Posts posted by kipwinger

  1. Posted · Report reply

    I stopped drinking a number of years ago. I have pretty strong feelings on how stupid and mean alcohol makes people. That said, it also often leads to hilarious moments of instant karma that are almost impossible to replicate without booze.

    For instance, in college a buddy of mine was "riding" a skateboard with a bottle of beer in his hand despite knowing nothing about how to ride a skateboard. Another friend yelled "do a trick" to which he responded (in a very cocky way), "I don't DO tricks". Almost instantly he shifted his weight, the board rolled out from underneath him, he fell, and tried to catch himself with the hand holding the bottle. It broke and sliced his palm pretty good. He had to go to the hospital and get stitched up. Pretty awesome trick. 

  2. Posted · Edited by kipwinger · Report reply

    2 hours ago, Jimmybigrigs69 said:

    I've been dissapointed by Buium and Danielson personally. 

    Danielson tops out at 3C IMO. Not a bad thing, but a little dissapointing considering the pick level spent on him.

    Danny I think is for sure at least a future NHL player, but i dont feel the same way about Buium. I think Buium will get his shot, but I'm not overly optimistic about it. 

    I like Kiiskinen and Anton because theyre grinders. Buium and Danielson probably actually have more natural talent, but drive beats talent everyday of the week. Ill put my money on those two anyday. 

    People said the same thing about Kasper. I'm not worried. Kid just played 1C in a top pro league as a rookie. His focus on proper defensive play means his offense doesn't pop yet, but he still outscored Kasper at the same point in their careers and we all just saw Kasper produce just fine in the NHL despite all the negative prognostication. With the exception of Raymond, every SY draft pick has supposedly had "limited offensive upside" and every single one of them scores just fine once they get to the NHL. Prioritizing defensive play is not the same thing as not being able to score.

    Buium was the best defenseman in GR last year. However I agree that the bar was pretty low but I really liked his game and thought he was the best LHD on the team.

  3. Posted · Report reply

    37 minutes ago, Jimmybigrigs69 said:

    Hot take:

    id say our #1 forward prospect is Jesse Kiiskinen 

    And our #1 D prospect (outside of ASP) is Anton Johansson 

    Fight me

    Id go Danielson and Buium but I can see an argument for Kiiskinen and (to a lesser degree) Johansson. I think center is a harder position than winger and the AHL is a better league than Liiga. So I give the nod to Danielson. On defense I really liked Buium’s game last year in GR and I like that he’s played big roles on winning teams. I also think he has more puck skill than Johansson. 
     

    Im very excited about Kiiskinen tho and see him as a modern day Tuomo Ruutu (Finnish Carter Mazur). I think he’s going to be a good NHL complimentary scorer with a decent amount of pluck. I’m less sure about Johansson. I think he did well on a bad team in the SHL last year and has the size, skating, and mean streak to be a good 3rd pair shutdown guy. But I don’t know enough about his game to say whether he’ll be able to move the puck out of the defensive zone after he makes stops. I just haven’t seen enough of him. 

    In any case, I think Wallinder is trade bate.

  4. Posted · Report reply

    59 minutes ago, Jimmybigrigs69 said:

    images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSHvIm29lx1rc-mo5mzCcO

     

    I assume once Talbot is gone the Griffs net will likely belong to Trey and Rudy. With a mix in of gylander and postova. But i dont really see gylander or postova ever becoming NHLers. 

    Fun fact though, I read Postova was down to either Detroit or Edmonton, and so he called his friend Luke Dostal of the Ducks and Dostal straight up told him go with Detroit. 

    I wouldn’t be so sure about Gylander. He had a pretty decent rookie year in Toledo and that league is super hard on goalies. I’d imagine he’ll see plenty of games in GR this year if one of our two top goalies gets injured and Cossa has to move to a backup role in Detroit. 

    Jimmybigrigs69 reacted to this

  7. Posted · Report reply

    3 minutes ago, Jimmybigrigs69 said:

    But that's where im a bit stuck. Say Mo and Ed are our next Lids/Raffi... i understand Lids and Raffi had Kronwall and Stuart behind them. But we have two horses. Dont you think they can carry 80% of the game for us? Despite bad partners? Idk feels like this year is gonna fuqqin suck and im gonna watch the pistons

    I think our defense is going to absolutely suck again this season barring some kind of trade or huge progression from ASP/Wallinder/Buium/Tuomisto. Long term I think our defense is going to be very good, but this season the defense is basically the same as it was with the caveat that Edvinsson is still not maxed out. I think the Chiarot-Seider pairing is good enough to hold water until we find someone better to take Chiarot's place but we've got no decent option at 2nd pair RHD unless we run it back with Johansson...and that wasn't good enough a year ago.

    Joking aside I do think JBD at least has a shot at being a Walman-type guy who has talent but wasn't really ever in a position to succeed. It's a long shot but it's a shot.

     

     

  8. Posted · Report reply

    Just now, Jimmybigrigs69 said:

    Don't disagree

    Interestringly enough the Jfresh best Dman fan vote just came in. Seider finished at #18 in the league. Ed finished at #117. No other Wings dmen ranked. I do think thats super low for Ed and will change once the league gets to know him better. 

    Totally agree. Same for Seider. There were players ahead of both Ed and Seider that I wouldn't say were "better". They just play for better teams and/or score more points. Fans don't know diddly squat.

  9. Posted · Edited by kipwinger · Report reply

    5 minutes ago, Jimmybigrigs69 said:

    You are very correct, he is a horse. And he has the size and skill to (potentially) be the best. 

    Things I loved: when that dood try to fight him and he basically stood their and kept him at arms length and said ur not worth my time. Owned. 

    Things I didnt love: when a different dood actually got to him and he basically turtled. 

    I've always been loud n proud about my love for Mo. Precisely because he's always been a take no prisoners beast. I shy torwards Ed bc he doesnt share the same mentality...

    However, ive mentioned it before, it seems this team has neutered Mo. Suddenly hes a positional guy like a Lids or Raffi. And i dont think that plays to the strengths of the player. Maybe that changes under Todd, remains to be seen. But my question for u would be... do u think theyre misplaying Mo? Should Ed play the same way? Do you think maybe Ed could play that role which allows us to unleash Seider?

    Stylistically, Seider reminds me of prime Doughty and Edvinsson reminds me of prime Hedman. Hedman is physical without fighting, Doughty is at his best when he's being a surly SOB. Two totally different ways of being physical and being elite. I think Edvinsson will always be the better defender because of his size and insane wingspan. You basically can't score on the guy when he's in position. Seider's two-way game is better because he's better in transition and I think he sees plays in the offensive zone better than Ed does. That's why Seider is, and should remain, the better powerplay option of the two.

  10. Posted · Edited by kipwinger · Report reply

    I don't think enough is being said about just how ungodly good Edvinsson was last year. He started in the defensive zone 54% of the time, was in the 90th percentile in terms of quality of competition, and yet 52% of the goals scored while he was on the ice were scored by Detroit. In other words, he started shifts pinned in his own zone against guys like Kucherov, Barkov, Crosby, Matthews etc. more than half the time and Detroit scored more often than their opponents did when he as on the ice. Good god.

    On top of that, 30 of his 31 points were scored at even strength. Almost no powerplay time. That's insane production given who he was playing against and where he was logging all his minutes.

    I'm calling it now, when he's 25 he'll be the best defenseman in the NHL.

    town123 reacted to this

  11. Posted · Report reply

    8 minutes ago, stephen-gregory-yzerman said:

    My preferred lineup as it stands now

    Elmer-Larks-Ray

    Dcat-Kasper-Kane

    JVR-Copp-Appleton

    Ras-Compher-Mazur

    Berg

    Ed-Seider

    Johansson-RHD

    Chiarot-JBD

    Gus

    Danielson, MBN, ASP need to get looks with injuries and should be up full time by trade deadline.

    Let's talk about your 2nd defensive pair. First, you said "as it stands now" which means there isn't an RHD coming in from outside the organization. Meaning you've only got ASP and Tuomisto to choose from. 2nd, Johansson (god love him) was only tolerable on the 2nd pair because he was playing with Edvinsson...who is a one man shutdown pair. Move him away from Edvinsson (or Seider) and he's going to get absolutely smoked for 18 minutes a night.

  12. Posted · Report reply

    4 minutes ago, stephen-gregory-yzerman said:

    Danielson and MBN are more NHL ready then ASP imo. This team still needs to add a top 4 dman preferably right shot.

    I agree about the NHL readiness of those players. But given our need for a RHD and given that our top prospect is a RHD I'd give him every opportunity to take that job.

  13. Posted · Report reply

    I'm bored so I'm doing line combinations. This is with no additional players coming in from outside the organization. Here we go.

    Ras-Larkin-Raymond: Ras fills the "Kasper" role on this line. I still believe in his offense if he's not asked to be a shutdown guy (29 pts in 56 games in 22-23).

    Dcat-Copp-Kane: We saw this line working well last season before Copp's injury

    Berggren-Kasper-Mazur: Two years ago this was the best line in the AHL and would murder depth defenders in the NHL

    JVR-Compher-Sodorblom: Quality depth scoring, "hard offense", and some defensive responsibility.

    Appleton

     

    Chiarot-Seider: What else are we gonna do?

    Edvinsson-ASP: What else are we gonna do?

    Johansson-JBD: What else are we gonna do, but also might defend pretty well.

    Gustafsson/Holl: Can't we just fire them into the sun already?

     

    Gibson

    Talbot

     

    Analysis:

    Forwards: I actually really like the forward group. You have an all purpose top line that can play at both ends of the ice. The second line would need  to be sheltered and play primarily in the offensive zone, but that's the case with any line Kane is on. The third line has the makings of one of the best 3rd lines in the NHL and they already have instant chemistry. The fourth line provides size and depth scoring of the "hard offense" variety. The only downside I see is that there's not really a true "shutdown line".

    Defense: I don't love the top pair and I'm not going to love it until Chiarot is replaced, but you know what you're getting and you know they can play solid minutes against the league's best. If you put Edvinsson up there (and he and Seider play 25 mins a night) then you spend 35 minutes a game with no competent defenders on the ice. The second pair is a crap shoot but at least it's got talent. You're gambling a lot on ASP being ready to handle the minutes, which is a big ask, but we've seen other SY draft picks do so at an early age (Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper) and ASP clearly has the pedigree to make it work. The third pair would actually be pretty hard to deal with (I think) and could tilt the ice in our favor against the opposition's depth forward lines. I actually really like it.

    Goalie: This is the best goalie tandem we've had in ages and I have zero complaints right now.

  17. Posted · Report reply

    1 minute ago, Motor City Mullets said:

    That'll get Larkin starting to write his  dour post season presser April '26.

    I love having a genius GM. He zigs when everyone else zags. Like, the whole world seems to think we need to improve our defense and get tougher up front in the top six. Hell, Yzerman said so himself in his end-of-year presser. But wait...SIKE!!!...we don't need no stinking defensemen or power forwards. We need John Gibson and Berggren.

    #Legend

    Motor City Mullets reacted to this

  19. Posted · Report reply

    I’ll admit I don’t know much about him, so I have been deep diving since the pick. But I like it. Seems like a Sam Reinhart-lite sorta winger. His size and skating are good and will get better as he gets more muscle. His skill looks good, tho I’d caution that his junior team was a wagon the last couple years so his stats may be inflated a bit. All in all a great pick at that position. I feel really good about it. 

  20. Posted · Report reply

    On 6/25/2025 at 11:42 AM, Jimmybigrigs69 said:

    Yeah this draft legit sucks. At 13th, all the Dmen seem like riskier project players, and the forwards project out like middle 6 guys. 

    Dobson would be a huge add. I'd send NYI the 13th + Ras (making cap space) and a D prospect like Buium or Wallinder. 

    Dobson is rumored asking for 11m per, but he wont get that IMO under RFA control. I'd try to get him under a contract that matches Seider's. $8.55 x 8. Would expire when he's 33 yo. 

    That leaves us with roughly $15m to sign Ajo, Soder, and Berggren + UFAs (including Kane). Could go out and still sign an impact forward with that amount of money.

    I've seen some media reports that NYI are looking for multiple 1st round picks coming back in a trade for Dobson. I can't really recall the last time any player got that kind of package coming back...maybe Hertl? So I think it's probably overblown. But if that's truly the price then I'd walk away. He's a really good player, but he's a RHD and we've got Seider and ASP long term. Use those same assets to pin down a heavier power forward type and address the LHD holes in the lineup in free agency.

     

     

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  21. Posted · Report reply

    Another year another Wheeler mock draft with the wings taking a 5’11, 160 lb. winger. Wash, rinse, repeat. 
     

    I don’t really like our options with this pick and I think we should trade it for Dobson. He’s a stud and if we trade for him and sign Provorov/Gavrikov we would go from having one of the worst defenses in the league to one of the best. 

  22. Posted · Report reply

    On 6/18/2025 at 1:42 PM, Jimmybigrigs69 said:

    If theyd actually played the full 7 games things probably turn out different

    Also, if “McJesus” wasn’t such a McPussy and scored more than 1 goal in the finals things would likely have looked different as well.

  23. Posted · Report reply

    On 6/18/2025 at 2:38 PM, LeftWinger said:

    Ekblad won't be re-signed unless he takes a DEEP cut. TSN reports that there are 3 teams he'd go to, Edmonton, Toronto, Detroit.

    Ekblad worries me because he’s going to get paid a premium but hes constantly injured. 

    9 hours ago, Jimmybigrigs69 said:

    Honestly, an interesting move by Yzerman would be to take a stab at signing Bennett, Marchand, AND Ekblad. Importing an entire culture. 

    And if he could pull that off, let Tarasenko stick around another year as part of it. 

    Just buyout Holl and maybe move Gus. But we'd have to let Kane walk, but honestly that might be for the best. We need a turnover in leadership. 

    DCat - Larkin - Raymond

    Marchand - Bennett - Tarasenko

    Kasper - Copp - Compher

    Soderblom - Ras - Berggren

    Ed - Seider

    Chiarot - Ekblad

    Ajo - Gus

    I worry about signing too many guys who don’t really have anything left to play for. 

  24. Posted · Report reply

    Fun thought: After the Panthers win last night much was made about it being a "dynasty" and how were they going to retain their core guys (specifically Bennett). To do so they'd have to shed salary elsewhere, which makes them primed for fleecing. Take a look at their organizational depth and see if there's anything of interest.

    I like Mackie Samoskevich. He plays really hard and fast, was trained well in Florida, has ties to Michigan (USNTDP and UofM) and is an RFA so he'll need a raise. He seems primed to get traded when you consider every dollar will count down in Florida this summer.

  25. Posted · Report reply

    I haven't been dialed in on the draft like I have been in years past, but I do think we need to either target size/offense in a forward or a better LHD prospect than Wallinder or Buium. I like Aitcheson and Carbonneau. Both seem big, tough, and can score. We have excellent center depth with Larkin, Marco, Danielson, Plante (this dude is really really good), and Finnie. Our defense can probably be rounded out in free agency. But our wingers kinda suck and we've got not depth there. So I'd probably prioritize Carbonneau on the wing rather than Aitcheson on defense, but those thoughts should be taken with a BIG grain of salt because again, I haven't really been as involved this year.