FireCaptain

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Everything posted by FireCaptain

  1. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    Sportsline Det +136 Bos -150 Betting on the over/under (5) is going 92% over.. people are expecting a high scoring game apparently. Oddsshark Det +126 Bos -139 59% bet the OVER. Bovada Det +125 Bos -145 Their over under is OVER (-130), under (+110). For those that don't gamble the numbers are based on a $100 bet. If the number is a plus, you bet $100 to win that amount. If the number is a minus, you have to bet that amount to win $100. So the minuses are the favored teams.
  2. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    OK, I read it as tho you didn't quite understand it, but you meant that you disagreed with it. Gotcha. It is a little weird, but I can see the logic behind it.
  3. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    Flyers and Islanders can't take third in Atlantic b/c they're in the Metro division, so yes, best Flyers can do at this point is the remaining WC spot. Boston, however, being in Atlantic, can kick us out of 3rd and force us to fight for the WC spot.
  4. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    They only have a 25 - 37% chance of being in 3rd instead of 2nd. However, in either scenario they have an 85% of meeting the Wings in the first round right now (basically us or BOS until that scenario works itself out). http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Atlantic/TampaBay2.html
  5. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    Hopefully, this plane landed safely in Boston this morning and all onboard were well fed and rested,,
  6. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    We need to lock 3rd place up tonight and then let BOS/PHI fight it out for the WC spot.
  7. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 50/50 Beat Philadelphia 3-0, playoff odds up 16.6 to 91.4% 93 points 41 28-11 Repeat performance of last night tonight vs. the Bruins and Saturday's a rest day!
  8. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    I read an article yesterday that in the last three years the Wings clinched in: 2015: Game 81. 2014: Game 80. 2013: Game 82. I can't take this!!!!!!!!!
  9. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    Nice work, that's what this thread is all about!!
  10. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    It's the 'four' point game. From an MLIVE article: http://www.mlive.com/redwings/index.ssf/2016/04/5_things_to_watch_red_wings_ha_2.html 1. Big game against Flyers Wednesday's home finale (8 p.m., NBC Sports Network exclusive) will be the Red Wings' biggest regular season game since 2013, when they needed to win their final four games to clinch a playoff berth. At least it will be until the next night. The Flyers are 13-4-2 since Feb. 25, including a 4-3 win at home against the Red Wings on March 15, when they outshot Detroit 23-3 in the first period. The Flyers are 9-3-0 in their past 12 against the Red Wings and have won three of their past six games in Detroit, including a 2-1 shootout victory on Jan. 17. Before that, the Red Wings had gone 15-0-2 (W-L-T) in their previous 17 at home vs. Philly, including the 1997 Stanley Cup finals. But that's all ancient history that will mean nothing on Wednesday. 2. Datsyuk's final home appearance? Could Wednesday be Pavel Datsyuk's last game at Joe Louis Arena? It's possible, if the Red Wings miss the playoffs. CBC's Elliotte Friedman reported that Datsyuk might return to Russia after the season due to family reasons, something that his agent, Dan Milstein, would not confirm or deny. Datsyuk-to-Russia rumors ran rampant in 2013, before he signed a three-year extension that has one year remaining. If Datsyuk -- who turns 38 on July 31 -- leaves, his $7.5 million salary cap hit for 2016-17 remains on the books. However, the Red Wings could solve that issue by trading his rights to a team that will need to reach the salary cap floor next season, such as the Arizona Coyotes. The bigger problem, for a team that has difficulty scoring, would be losing their most offensively gifted player. 3. Winner-take-all vs. Bruins? Thursday's game in Boston (7 p.m., Fox Sports Detroit) could end up being a winner-take-all scenario for third place in the Atlantic. The struggling Bruins are 2-7-0 in their past nine. They'll be rested, playing against a team that played the night before. The Red Wings have lost three in a row in Boston, but the Bruins are 16-17-5 at home. Detroit snapped a six-game losing streak overall against the Bruins with a 6-5 win on Feb. 14 at JLA. 4. It's Howard or bust Jimmy Howard is coming off back-to-back wins and there is no doubt he will start on Wednesday. If he plays well, he's likely to start the next night, too. The Red Wings probably won't risk starting Petr Mrazek in Boston, after pulling him in three of his past four starts. For the fourth year in a row, the Red Wings will be leaning on Howard to help them reach the playoffs in the final week of the season. 5. A potentially huge season finale The Red Wings would rather not go into their season finale Saturday against the Rangers at Madison Square Garden (12:30, NBC) needing to win, especially if Henrik Lundqvist is in goal. Detroit has lost five in a row at MSG dating back to Dec. 6. 2009. The Rangers are 6-1-2 in their past nine against the Red Wings overall. Six of those games have gone to overtime. The Rangers are winless in three (0-2-1) heading into a week in which they'll play four games in six days. If the Rangers have third place in the Metropolitan Division locked up, they night opt to rest some key players. If they're still battling the New York Islanders for the spot, they'll be all in to win.
  11. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    HEY - before y'all get my thread deleted again, please take player discussions ELSEWHERE!!!
  12. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances Did not play, playoff odds up 11.6 to 60.4% 91 points 40 28-11 +12% based on Philly and Boston losing last night. The critical game of the remaining three is obviously the proverbial "four point game" against Boston. The second season may very well hinge on it.
  13. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    Detroit Red Wings Playoff ChancesBeat Toronto 3-2, playoff odds up 8 to 48.8% 91 points 40 28-11 Basically any combination of W/L that doesn't result in us winning out the season , dooms us to no post-season.
  14. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances Beat Buffalo 3-2, playoff odds up 4.3 to 50.6% 87 points 38 27-11 Back to being a 50% team with a .500 record.. This is a tough year to watch.
  15. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    Down 9.1% to 50/50 odds... Seems appropriate since we're a sub .500 team.. Detroit Red Wings Playoff ChancesLost to Tampa Bay 2-6, playoff odds down 9.1 to 50.6% 83 points 36 26-11
  16. FireCaptain

    3/22 GDT : Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning, 7:30PM ET

    As someone who was at that game and sat thru that unbelievable, lackluster, "we don't seem to give an eff about anything" hockey game - I'd have to say I'm glad I didn't spring for the expensive seats. That was easily the worst Wings game I've ever seen in person. Other than a faceoff, we couldn't see to win a single other battle. Passes to no one. Passes to the other team. It was truly awful. Side note - the Amelie Arena is a nice place.
  17. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    Most games are low single digit percentage swings unless it the proverbial "four point" game or if someone fighting us for a direct playoff spot is winning/losing, then it can reach low double digits.
  18. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    unfortunately no. They bottomed out around 34% tho.
  19. FireCaptain

    2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

    Please delete the offending posts then, not my informative thread!
  20. FireCaptain

    Fixing this mess....

    OK, I'm naked.. now what?
  21. FireCaptain

    2/26 GDT : Red Wings at Avalanche Alumni Game, 7:00 EST

    I miss Fisch(er)! Still remember watching the game against Nashville when he collapsed. Watching the team pictures.. still can't stand the look of HedgeDuck.
  22. FireCaptain

    2/26 GDT : Red Wings at Avalanche Alumni Game, 7:00 EST

    Who's doing the color to Kenny's Play by Play, some old Avs announcer??
  23. FireCaptain

    2/26 GDT : Red Wings at Avalanche Alumni Game, 7:00 EST

    Who has been in goal besides Emmanuel Legacy? since there was no Dom and no Ozzy, has ol' Manny played the whole game?..