Personally, I think Durant will be selected at #1 overall....because Greg Oden won't declare this year. Despite his age, Durant has proven this year that he is quite an effective and poilished scorer. Even if he doesn't excel so much at defense, given his 6'9 frame and freakishly long arms, I'm sure a competent NBA coach can and will teach him how to defend. Personally, Oden seems too raw to make the leap just yet. Lets not forget, he started off the season missing significant time, and his offense is just now starting to come around. I think Thad Matta will convince him to stay (at least another year) and ready his game for the NBA. Also, I think Oden will eventually realize that if he wants first overall money, he'd better wait and be part of a draft class that doesn't also contain Kevin Durant.
If you all saw what I am talking about. I'll try and link some pics when I can. Scott Van Pelt said the worst jacket belonged to Melrose, IMO right on in his assessment.