No doubt Barca will dominate possession so I would expect Chelsea with only needing a draw to go through, to park the, defend deep and hit on the counter.
Tampa Bay would make sense. Luongo's contract wouldn't be a big issue as the Lightning have a fair bit of cap room to play with and have a ton of draft picks that Yzerman can play around with in a trade. He would certainly be an improvement on their goaltending (yes seriously!) As far as I'm concerned Toronto is a non starter. For Luongo's sanity! A stretch of bad games and the press/fans would absolute crucify him.
Whether Homer decides to retire or not is one thing but it's time for the Wings to part ways. Infusion some younger blood, it's got to happen (and it's somewhat overdue) into the team.
Someone suggested the longer off season (by Red Wings standards) will do him some good. Give ample to reflect and recharge and come back for another run. He will obvious have to be resigned at a "discount" but I think that is something he would be willing to do so the club can retool. Call it the "Home town discount"