Percentages and the Weekly contests

[Dan Bylsma 27]

Hi everyone,this is my first thread here,I really like your weekly contest here. I missed the

first 2 weeks,I like working with numbers so I decided to see how I compared to everyone else so I spent a few hours and figured out everyones percentages and here's the results below.

I included everyone that had participated in at least two thirds of the 7 weekly contest

games,I thought that would be a fair number ? There's a total of 141 games in the

contests so far over the 7 weeks so that calculates to 94 games minimum to make the list.

One notable exception I wanted to bring up though was LGW's member "The Edge" would have ranked 2nd overall with a percentage of 62.637 but he fell just 3 games short of participating in 2/3's of the contest games.

Others that moved up considerably in the rankings using this method were windsgirl001,betterREDthandead and dropkickshanahans

If this website is to be believed (link) 55.4% of the games in the NHL are won by the home team.I went back to the last 200 games played including games from last night and if you would have selected the home team in every game you would have had a percentage of 56.930 ranking you a respectable 26th on the list.

I'm not sure I could predict how long it would take for this percentage to emerge over time. Us guys that are down below 54% aren't doing very well I would say :-( I think I'll favor the home team a little more in my future selections.

Edited November 20, 2009 by Dan Bylsma

[seeinred 1,488]

Cool stats, man. Nice to see that I suck just as bad as I thought I did.

[hak 21]

i'm not impressed with my % but it's interesting, thanks for compiling this

[Dan Bylsma 27]

i'm not impressed with my % but it's interesting, thanks for compiling this

thanks for looking guys...I can't get over that stat that if you would have picked the home team in every game of the last 200 it would have put you in the upper half of the standings list !

Maybe that was a little bit of fluke and if you did it for the next 200 games you could end up with something like 53% correct,who knows ? I'll keep track of it :-)

[Dan Bylsma 27]

thanks for looking guys...I can't get over that stat that if you would have picked the home team in every game of the last 200 it would have put you in the upper half of the standings list !

Maybe that was a little bit of fluke and if you did it for the next 200 games you could end up with something like 53% correct,who knows ? I'll keep track of it :-)

one more note,with the stats on home teams winning in the last 200 games as I presented I think a easy recipe for getting to the top of the official contest would be to select every home team plus as in the case of the first month of the season pick just a few of the hot teams when they play on the road such as the Devils,Penguins and Avalanche and that would have probably put you very very close to the top or maybe even having a considerable lead in the contest !? I know hind sight is 20/20 but could it be replicated again ? Well i guess it wouldn't be if everyone did it :-)

[HOCKEY MATTERS 167]

Figures. Doggy is on the bottom, sniffin everybodys' rear. lol.

[akustyk 84]

nice job!

man... I'm a beast must be the beard I've grown so patiently over last months. just like #40

but honestly... it's really amazing how close this competition is. there's I Red Wings I with 87 points

followed by 5 of us with 86 pts. and for the top runners it's really no option to skip a weekend.

and I've already added reminders to my mobile to not forget my picks during winter vacation

Edited November 18, 2009 by akustyk

[T-Ruff 47]

Nice job... I love stats

[P. Marlowe 748]

Nice work. Most are around 50%. This just goes to show how even the league is as it's so hard to pick the winners.

[Dan Bylsma 27]

Nice work. Most are around 50%. This just goes to show how even the league is as it's so hard to pick the winners.

I think a special thanks should go out to Aussie_Wing for compiling the data every week. Aussie did more then half the work for me.To use baseball terminology his job is to keep count of the "hits"and I just needed to keep track of the "at bats"

[dropkickshanahans 463]

damn. now everybody knows my method. it's gonna be hard to egt to the top now

good research, though.

Edited November 18, 2009 by dropkickshanahans

[Dan Bylsma 27]

damn. now everybody knows my method. it's gonna be hard to egt to the top now

good research, though.

lol ! here I thought I was just watching to many episodes of the tv show "Breaking Vegas"

good job dropkickshanahans !

Edited November 18, 2009 by Dan Bylsma