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WingedWheel91

Member Since 11 Mar 2013
Offline Last Active May 27 2016 02:56 PM
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#2663601 2016 Playoffs % chances (part II)

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 31 March 2016 - 01:19 PM

Against my better judgment, I will try and be optimistic about our chances.

 

DETROIT

April 1st - VS MIN (This will be the 2nd game of a back to back, as well as the 3rd game in 4 nights for MIN)

April 2nd - @ TOR (They have done way too much winning the past 2 weeks, currently sit in a 3 way tie for #1 overall in the draft lottery)

April 6th - VS PHI (Among the 16 current playoff teams, PHI has registered the fewest road victories - 3 fewer than us)

April 7th - @ BOS (This is what our season comes down too - BOS has lost 6 of its last 7 games)

April 9th - @ NYR (This will be the last game of the season for both teams, very likely a game without standings implication for NYR)

 

BOSTON

April 1st - @ STL (STL has the 2nd most Points in the NHL, 8-2-0 in its past 10)

April 3rd - @ CHI (CHI is 24-11-3 at home, Fighting to fend Nashville off)

April 5th - VS CAR (Realistically, BOS probably wins this game)

April 7th - VS DET (This is what their season comes down too - DET has been long overdue for a goal-tending performance from Mrazek)

April 9th - VS OTT (Hopefully it doesn't come down to this)

 

All in all, stranger things have happened




#2663478 3/29 GDT - Red Wings at Canadiens - 7:30 PM EST

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 30 March 2016 - 12:14 PM

Fans show support in different ways...

 

I would rather miss the playoffs because I feel better about our chances of getting lucky in the draft lottery than I do about getting lucky in a 1st Round Playoff series given the way we have played lately. Like I said, the only reason we are where we are today is because of what Mrazek did earlier this year... If that 2 month stretch was anything less than what it was, we aren't even close to a playoff spot - and if we do make the playoffs, what chances do we have of winning if Mrazek doesn't get back to that level?

 

I can assure you we wont be winning any playoff games 6-5.

 

Hoping that we miss the playoffs to increase our chances of drafting an elite prospect is what a true fan would have to contemplate. I ask you, are Toronto Maple Leaf supporters not true fans today because they are mad about beating Florida last night and now sit in a 3 way tie for last place? A true fan wants what's best for the future of their team... Increasing your % chance of drafting 1st overall is exactly what I would be hoping for - and if I don't think we last more than 5 games against Tampa Bay or Washington, or Pittsburgh even in the 2nd round, I would rather miss out and have a shot at a franchise altering player.


Sense of reality check here:

 

Wings have played 3 games in 4 days - It's not surprise that they looked out of gas in the third. I know it's desperate times and everyone wants them to "show heart" and get it done, but you can't ignore that fact.

 

We just have to beat Boston here and they've been 3-6-1. I believe!

 

p.s. Price is probably best goalie in the league and amongst the leagues' MVPs - there's few players in the league as good as him.

 

Great - we barely managed 2 points out of 6, including a loss to a team which was missing "one of the best players in the league". Which supports my original point...

 

Sense of reality for you: We have 5 games left... 2 of them are Road games as the 2nd game of a back to back (In Toronto, In Boston) - The last one is also on the Road, against the New York Rangers which will be the 3rd game in another 4 day stretch.

 

Should I feel better now?




#2663436 3/29 GDT - Red Wings at Canadiens - 7:30 PM EST

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 30 March 2016 - 07:57 AM

Who really cares? Honestly.

 

Why do any of us hope to make the playoffs? This team is a pile of dog s*** that needs to get so much better in so many areas; forget this streak - high draft picks are the only path to success in Detroit. Have any of you watched Boston, Philly or the Islanders lately? These "fringe" teams are actually showing urgency and dominating most games they play, last night Boston outshot the Devils 40-15 on the road and somehow lost 2-1. Did you watch the PHI and WPG game before that? The 1st period of that game PHI should have been up by 3... These are what playoff teams looks like. Meanwhile in Detroit, we somehow avoided a 3 goal collapse against the f****** Sabres, but don't worry because we followed it up with a loss to an even worse team (without Subban and Price) in MTL.

 

If we limp into the playoffs like a bunch of wounded ducks, are we even going to score a goal against Washington? Actually that's impossible, because we're so bad that we can't even catch the Flyers for the 2nd wild card spot now. If we somehow catch Boston, which would require beating them in Boston on the second game of a back to back next week (LOL) - Do you guys even want to, or care about watching us lose in 5 to Tampa Bay?

 

Datsyuk is gone next year, Zetterberg and Kronwall are not who they were - and Stamkos isn't coming here. I would much rather lose the next 5 games and pray for a good bounce on lottery night, than crawl into the playoffs and pray for a miracle against a team much better than we are.




#2662851 Fixing this mess....

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 29 March 2016 - 12:49 PM

It's probably true that we need to improve our Defence more than our Offence, but it's also true that our team isn't very good.

 

And to be a good team, you need to have chemistry as a 5 Man Unit... How can this be attained considering the turnover our Roster has seen in the past 3 seasons?

 

Just this year we have introduced Larkin, Anthanasiou, Richards, Mantha, and Pulkinnen to our group of forwards. Green and Marchenko to our group of Defenceman, and don't forget about our Head Coach. Do we need a better puck moving defencemen? Probably, but we do have 3 pretty good ones in Kronwall, Green and Smith. Do we need a physical top 6 winger? Probably, but Abdelkader is pretty good at what he does.

 

What we need is familiarity and cohesiveness... need any proof? Look at our PP from last year (2nd overall) to this year (Bottom 10 most of this year - until lately). We didn't lose a single member and actually added more individual talent in Richards and Green (the elusive RH powerplay QB we so desperately needed) and the results couldn't have been worse.




#2662545 3/28 GDT : BUFFALO SABRES AT DETROIT RED WINGS, 7:30 PM ET

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 28 March 2016 - 01:46 PM

PUCK DROP:

7:38 PM EST VS THE 23RD RANKED TEAM IN THE NHL WHO SOMEHOW ONLY HAVE 6 FEWER WINS THAN WE DO.

 

START TIME: (NOT TO BE CONFUSED WITH PUCK DROP)

-8:46 PM BECAUSE GOD KNOWS WE'LL BE DOWN 3-0 AFTER THE 1ST.

 

DET LINE COMBOS

-DATSYUK, ZETTERBERG AND (10) OTHER FORWARDS WHO CAN SKATE LIKE HELL, CREATE VERY FEW SCORING CHANCES, SUSTAIN LITTLE TO NO OFFENSIVE ZONE TIME, AND SPEND MOST SHIFTS RETRIEVING PUCKS OUT OF THEIR OWN ZONE.

-KRONWALL, DEKEYSER AND (4) OTHER DEFENCEMEN WHO CANT RETRIEVE, OR MOVE THE PUCK OUT OF THEIR OWN ZONE. ALTHOUGH (1) DISPLAYS A NIFTY T-DRAG FROM TIME TO TIME (BECAUSE THAT'S WHAT 6,000,000 PER WILL GET YA!).

-1 GOALIE WHO CAN ACTUALLY HANDLE THE PUCK BETTER THAN MOST OF OUR DEFENCEMEN, BUT ISN'T STARTING TONIGHT BECAUSE HE'S BEEN HANDLING TOO MANY PUCKS INTO HIS OWN NET LATELY.

 

DET INJURIES: (THE MOST DEPRESSING LIST OF ALL)

-DREW MILLER

 

THAT IS CORRECT. WE LITERALLY HAVE (1) 4TH LINE LEFT WINGER INJURED - AND WE STILL CANT SCORE.

 

TEAM SCOPE:

DET - THERE IS LITERALLY NO WAY TO PREDICT HOW THIS TEAM WILL PLAY TONIGHT.

 

BUF - THERE IS LITERALLY NO WAY TO PREDICT HOW THIS TEAM WILL PLAY TONIGHT.

 

PREDICTION:

AUSTON MATTHEWS WILL BE SELECTED 1ST OVERALL IN THE 2016 NHL ENTRY DRAFT.




#2654885 Where Are The Point Getters?

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 24 February 2016 - 03:28 PM

Bottom line is we have nothing in our so called great system that's gonna take us to the next level e.g. the level of excellence where they used to be pre 2009 Stanley Cup finals. This is getting frustrating as we can't bring in the help like they did in 2001 b/c of the cap and our prospects are just decent at best. Aside from Larkin there is no hope anymore!

 

Who knows though - these guys are still so young. Larkin, Mantha, Anthanasiou, are all 21 or under... Throw in our teenagers like Svechnikov, Saarijarvi or our 1st round pick this year and ask yourself can any of these guys be superstars in 4/5 years (when they will all be 25 or younger)? Such a long time from now, it certainly isn't out of the realm of possibility. 




#2654820 Where Are The Point Getters?

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 24 February 2016 - 08:56 AM

I think our lack of scoring has less to do with individual talent, and more to do with the system we need to use to win games. It's no secret, this team (like most) are at their best when they don't give any chances to the other team. To play this way, you generally aren't in a position to accumulate a lot of scoring chances - because unless the other team is Edmonton, most opportunities are coming from the perimeter or the PP.

 

To further that point: What's the biggest offensive difference between this season and last? We were still a below average 5 on 5 team last year, but our PP was cashing in at 23.5% - good enough for 2nd in the NHL. This season, we are 21st in the NHL at 17.5%. A staggering statistic considering we returned all 6 PP forwards from last year, and then added Mike Green and Brad Richards.

 

All in all, our roster needs a top pairing Defenceman before we need another forward. This makes a huge difference on 5 on 5 play and allows the forwards to play a more offensive game... Until then, we will continue to sit a guy like Teemu Pulkkinen because he can't play in a defensive minded system.




#2631966 Roster Moves by the Wings

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 20 October 2015 - 02:28 PM

I don't think Defense will be our issue this year...

 

You can't make season altering decisions based on a 6 game conclusion.

 

But - if you were to do that, you may consider the following:

 

#1 - Pavel Datsyuk (a top 3 defensive center in the world) has yet to play.

#2 - Dan Dekeyser (our best defensive defenceman imo) has played 1/5 games. Which creates imbalanced pairings.

#3 - 2/5 games played so far, were the second game of a back to back. In those 2 games, we have allowed 7 goals.




#2628462 Roster Moves by the Wings

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 05 October 2015 - 03:26 PM

I think the "right shooting defenseman" thing has tended to get overblown over the last three years.  Nothing about being a right shooter makes a guy better, or more deserving of a roster spot.  It's a characteristic that, all things being equal, you'd like to have a balance of. 

 

For instance, Marchenko and Smith were a better pair last year than Smith and Zidlicky.  In one instance having a righty worked, and in the other it didn't make much difference.  If forced to choose, I would rather have seen Smith with another lefty (Ouellet?), or Zidlicky with another righty (Marchenko?), rather than those two together. 

 

The lefty righty thing is based on all other variables being equal. If you're trying to find a partner for a lefty, and you've got two good guys with similar skillsets, then pick a righty.  But if one guy is a mismatch in every other way, but is right handed, don't give him the spot based primarily on that. 

 

Just my 2 cents. 

 

When you consider that over 70% of NHL Defencemen shoot left handed, It certainly helps to have a Right Handed shot when it comes to bubble players in the pre-season and/or free agents in the off-season. No, you aren't cutting Nick Kronwall to make room for Nick Jensen, but the theory of having an equal number of each stems from basic (positional) fundamentals and not just because it's simply good to have a balance of both.

 

Ideally, you would like to have 3 LH and 3 RH Defencemen at all times - because it's much harder to play the opposite side as a Dman than it is as a Forward...Alot of Forwards actually prefer to play their off-wing because its beneficial in most scoring area's around the slot.

 

As a left handed Defenceman playing the right side, it is much more difficult to retrieve the puck off the boards and move it quickly when sustaining offensive zone time... At NHL level, retrieving pucks on your backhand at the blueline to keep the zone (especially at even strength) typically gives the opposing team too much time to make a play. It's also harder to "play catch" and set up your offence at the top of the zone if both Dmen are Left Handed, and opposing teams will key in on this. Not to get too crazy, because we are talking about the best in the world here... but it's also easier to pivot, and force opposing forwards to the outside when you are playing the correct side.

 

On the PP, it's also beneficial to have both shots out there (think Lidstrom, Rafalski) - because once possession is established after the faceoff is won, the Defencemen can "switch" and create two shooting lanes as opposed to just one. Doing that, also creates room down low because the shorthanded team has to send 2 guys high...

 

It's not really overblown, and although you aren't arbitrarily a better player based on the fact you shoot right handed, you can certainly put your team in a position to be better. This is why they command more money every off-season, and more demand every trade deadline then left handed shooting players.




#2620593 Remaing RFAs to be signed - Jurco, Pulkkinen, Aubry

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 15 July 2015 - 10:49 AM

Just some Johan Franzen statistics I hope get considered when we potentially sacrifice Ferrarro, Pulkinnen or Callahan for him:

 

-He is going to be 36 years old in December.

-He has never played a full 82 game season in his career.

-He has only scored 30+ goals one time during his career - in 2008/2009.

-He has never recorded more than 60 points in any season during his career.

-He has played 33, 54, and 41 games respectively through the past 3 seasons.

-In those 3 seasons, he has scored 37 goals in 128 games - which averages out to be a 23 goal season (in 82 Games).

-Since 2010, he has scored 7 goals and 5 assists in 32 playoff games.

 

These numbers have predominately come as top 6 forward while lined up on either Pavel Datsyuk or Henrik Zetterberg's wing - but unfortunately, don't all of Gustav Nyquist, Tomas Tatar, Justin Abdelkader, Darren Helm and Riley Sheahan deserve or potentially do more with that opportunity than Franzen in 2015/16?  

 

If we believe that he's going to the healthy, rejuvenated, relatively quick power forward that we once saw - maybe I'm wrong and he would deserve a top 6 role... But when that doesn't happen, the collateral effects wont hurt us this year as much as next (assuming the Canadian Dollar doesn't rebound).

 

It also statistically proven that our team scores more goals and allows fewer goals without him in the lineup - puck possession doesn't really change. Not saying I know what to do with him, but we certainly have a financial problem if he can't crack the top 6.

 

All in all, you wont catch me in line buying umbrella's for the  "pro-Franzen s*** storm" that isn't going to come.




#2620464 Ryan O’Reilly Charged With Impaired Driving

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 14 July 2015 - 08:34 AM

This guy is all heart.

 

Not only does he crush 15 tall cans and decide to drive just a few days after signing a $52.5 Million contract... Not only is he driving an unbo green 1951 Chevy pickup that literally no one else would have, but he ultimately decides that a Timmies run is 100% happening right now - hits the building, drives down the road, stops the truck and runs away.

 

Get er done Kenny.




#2619993 Gustav Nyquist signed 4-Year Deal $4.75 mill AAV

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 10 July 2015 - 03:09 PM

Say what you want, Ken Holland completely delivered today. I certainly think this contract is more than reasonable considering the deals O'Reilly ($7,500,000 X 7), Saad ($6,000,000 X 6), and Taresenko ($7,500,000 X 8) recently received.

 

We still have the Cap Room to sign Jurco, Pulkinnen and Ferrarro - and another $8.6 Million coming off the books this summer (Quincey, Miller, Richards). Franzen adds another $3.9 if he cant go.

 

ZETTERBERG - DATSYUK - ABDELKADER

TATAR - SHEAHAN - FRANZEN

NYQUIST - RICHARDS - PULKINNEN

JURCO - HELM - GLENDENNING

 

KRONWALL - ERICSSON

DEKEYSER - GREEN

SMITH - MARCHENKO

 

We are undoubtedly better than we were a year ago, and still had the eventual Stanley cup finalists 2 minutes (or a Luke Glendenning setback) away from a 3-1 series lead.

 

Cant wait.




#2619248 Nyquist Files For Arbitration

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 06 July 2015 - 02:32 PM

Left Winger - I agree... same train of thought.

 

I question:

 

1. If Nyquist scores 48 points (for example) next season, doesn't his trade value plummet? I don't think 48 points seems way off... And at that point he would certainly look more Hudler than Z.  

2. If Anthanasiou scores 60 points as a Griffin next season - Is he not heading down the exact same developmental path as Nyquist/Tatar/Pulkinnen? But as a bigger and more complete player than all three?

 

My point is that I think we really underestimate our player development system and forget that at some point we need to replace our franchise players... If Nyquist can be used as a legitimate piece to acquire someone with that potential - I absolutely do it.

 

Don't forget that our patented late round, offensively gifted, yet undersized players don't exactly have a history of lighting it up in the post-season - when it matters.




#2615740 Free agents this off season

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 23 June 2015 - 10:42 AM

Not sure why you think Franson isn't going to make around $6,000,000... He's 27, Right Handed, and has great size - even though he isn't worth it to me, unfortunately the market favours those characteristics.

 

This is also only the 2nd summer that limits contract length - meaning the cap hits are going to be higher because you cant circumvent salary anymore...

 

Already this year:

 

PETRY - 6 YEARS/$33 MILLION

BOYCHUK - 7 YEARS/$42 MILLION

LEDDY - 7 YEARS/$38.5 MILLION


e_prime:

 

If Kronwall is making $4,750,000 - Do you think Holland can or will even attempt to justify signing Franson for $6,000,000? He already gave Ericsson the bad long term D-Man contract...




#2615718 Free agents this off season

Posted by WingedWheel91 on 23 June 2015 - 09:12 AM

I will personally turn my back on this team if Cody Franson is signed.

 

Scouting report from Khan:

 

Strengths: His offensive ability, He moves the puck well, has a good shot and can quarterback the power play.

Weakness: Is not widely regarded as a strong defender, lacking consistency. He registers a fair number of hits but isn't overly physical.

 

(1) - He has only had 2 seasons in which he scored over 30 points (33 in 2014 + 36 in 2015),  Both with Toronto, who (in his time as a leaf) were actually among the highest scoring teams in the league, but he was -20 in 2013-14, and -7 last year.

 

(2) - As a Leaf, he was essentially a top pairing player - typically playing with the Kessel, Lupul and Bozak line. He was on the #1 PP unit as well as the PK. What I'm trying to say is that he played in all situations, logged the most ice time and was generally in a good (if not great) situation to maximize his point totals - in spite of win totals.

 

(3) - At age 27, it was the Toronto Maple Leafs who decided that he was in no way/shape/form a part of this teams future. They traded him to Nashville, where he could barely crack the lineup (forget the top 4). On a good team full of good defenseman, he only registered 4 points in 23 games.

 

Say what you will, but we are a lot closer to the Nashville Predators than the Toronto Maple Leafs - and haven't we already seen what happens when signing a player (with the ability to consistently produce points on a bad team) to a multi year contract? Just like Stephen Weiss, Cody Franson has never shown he could combine individual production with team success.

 

No, he isn't worth 6 years at $6,000,000+.