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LeftWinger

Official 2018 NHL Amateur Entry Draft Discussion Thread

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14 minutes ago, Neomaxizoomdweebie said:

I'm not worried about this draft at all. Obviously, I would love to get Dahlin or even Svechnikov, but even if we pick 3-7, we are still getting a really good player. I would be thrilled with any of Boqvist, Hughes, Zadina, Tkachuk, Bouchard. And I don't see Holland going off board if any of those guys are available. 

Even better is the possibility that we could still snag a Veleno, Kupari, or Wilde with the second first rounder. No reason to trade up this year at all. 

I mean, I just wouldn't be that upset if we don't get Dahlin. We're still getting at least one, and probably 2 solid prospects. I'm stoked.

I don't see Veleno or Wilde dropping back that far. I wouldn't mind trading up to the middle of the first if someone we really like drops. But yeah, we should get at least a couple very good prospects in this draft. I just hope we manage to get a steal or two, ala Barzal / Boeser. Maybe Veleno could be that player this year...

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45 minutes ago, Neomaxizoomdweebie said:

I'm not worried about this draft at all. Obviously, I would love to get Dahlin or even Svechnikov, but even if we pick 3-7, we are still getting a really good player. I would be thrilled with any of Boqvist, Hughes, Zadina, Tkachuk, Bouchard. And I don't see Holland going off board if any of those guys are available. 

Even better is the possibility that we could still snag a Veleno, Kupari, or Wilde with the second first rounder. No reason to trade up this year at all. 

I mean, I just wouldn't be that upset if we don't get Dahlin. We're still getting at least one, and probably 2 solid prospects. I'm stoked.

Plus, there's always next year's draft, which is shaping up to be just as deep as this year's draft, possibly even deeper.

Jack Hughes (brother of Quinn) is phenomenal.

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So the best we can do is #1, the worst is #8.  Here are the top 8 from the March list above. Outside of not knowing much about Barret Hayton, who jumped up 3 spots to penetrate the top 10 for the first time, I say we have a REAL GUD shot at getting a legit NHL'er...

1 Rasmus Dahlin D

Frölunda HC (SHL)

2

Filip Zadina LW Halifax Mooseheads (QMJHL)
3 Andrei Svechnikov RW

Barrie Colts (OHL)

4

Adam Boqvist D Brynäs IF J20
5 Brady Tkachuk C/LW

Boston University (NCAA)

6

+1 Evan Bouchard D London Knights (OHL)
7 -1 Quinn Hughes D

University of Michigan (NCAA)

8

+3 Barrett Hayton C Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds (OHL)

OH! and this:

That looks good! 7 picks in the first three rounds! Again, we've said it before, that 2nd round is basically 2 late first rounders! #32 and #35. I am going to conservatively put us at #23 with VEG's pick.(hopefully it goes a bit higher into the teens!)

Within #23 to #35 are some good players as well! 

Jett Woo, K'andre Miller, Serron Noel, Mattias Samuelsson, Dominic Bokk, Ryan McLeod, Akil Thomas. Some of those names would have to fall a bit short, but we can really get loaded up with those 4 picks.

If we didn't get #1 or top 3 and our 4 picks were: Bouchard, Noel, Miller and Samuelsson. I would be elated! Not sure what our new GM is thinking we need, but in all honesty, these 4 big guys, if they develop they way they are projected to, will fit our needs perfectly!

Edited by LeftWinger

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45 minutes ago, LeftWinger said:

So the best we can do is #1, the worst is #8.  Here are the top 8 from the March list above. Outside of not knowing much about Barret Hayton, who jumped up 3 spots to penetrate the top 10 for the first time, I say we have a REAL GUD shot at getting a legit NHL'er...

OH! and this:

Capture.thumb.PNG.40bf2c58dcb4d8bf445a701516af1b52.PNGThat looks good! 7 picks in the first three rounds! Again, we've said it before, that 2nd round is basically 2 late first rounders! #32 and #35. I am going to conservatively put us at #23 with VEG's pick.(hopefully it goes a bit higher into the teens!)

Within #23 to #35 are some good players as well! 

Jett Woo, K'andre Miller, Serron Noel, Mattias Samuelsson, Dominic Bokk, Ryan McLeod, Akil Thomas. Some of those names would have to fall a bit short, but we can really get loaded up with those 4 picks.

If we didn't get #1 or top 3 and our 4 picks were: Bouchard, Noel, Miller and Samuelsson. I would be elated! Not sure what our new GM is thinking we need, but in all honesty, these 4 big guys, if they develop they way they are projected to, will fit our needs perfectly!

Minor correction: Our two 2nd rounders are 33 and 36. You're forgetting there are now 31 teams.

Also, just curious, which site are you getting your rankings? They seem a little off from most mock drafts I've seen...

I'm still kind of hoping we make a trade to move up to the middle of the 1st, to have two picks in the top half of the 1st round.

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I included the link in the 31 name list up top, Hockey Writers.  I don't look for mock drafts, that is more or less someone's opinion, unless its a McKenzie Mock, then I'd check it out. I look for draft rankings. I am sure mock drafts are done by looking at rankings, but I don't like when people tend to draft on their own opinoin. ex,. Detroit is #4, looking at Tkachuk, Zadina, Hughes, etc... but they have us drafting Rasmus Kupari, because, you know, Liiga. I tend to value TSN, Sportnet, Hockeywriters and any of the 3 or 4 on Elite Prospects (ISS, NHL Central Scouting) Here is ISS's April Top 31:

ISS HOCKEY TOP 31 - APRIL RANKING team_homepage.png team_twitter.png team_facebook.png team_youtube.png
 
1 1.png Rasmus Dahlin (D) Frölunda HC SHL 41 7 13 20 20 
2 9.png Andrei Svechnikov (RW) Barrie Colts OHL 44 40 32 72 67 
3 8.png Filip Zadina (LW) Halifax Mooseheads QMJHL 57 44 38 82 36 
4 6.png Brady Tkachuk (C/LW) Boston Univ. NCAA 40 8 23 31 61 
5 6.png Oliver Wahlstrom (C/RW) U.S. National U18 Team USDP 54 40 43 83 38 
6 3.png Evan Bouchard (D) London Knights OHL 67 25 62 87 54 
7 6.png Quinn Hughes (D) Univ. of Michigan NCAA 37 5 24 29 26 
8 3.png Noah Dobson (D) Acadie-Bathurst Titan QMJHL 67 17 52 69 52 
9 1.png Adam Boqvist (D) Brynäs IF J20 SuperElit 25 14 10 24 18 
10 3.png Joseph Veleno (C) Drummondville Voltigeurs QMJHL 33 16 32 48 22 
 
11 3.png Ty Smith (D) Spokane Chiefs WHL 69 14 59 73 30 
12 3.png Barrett Hayton (C) Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds OHL 63 21 39 60 32 
13 9.png Grigori Denisenko (LW) Loko Yaroslavl MHL 31 9 13 22 30 
14 2.png Rasmus Kupari (C) Kärpät Liiga 39 6 8 14 12 
15 1.png Isac Lundeström (C/LW) Luleå HF SHL 42 6 9 15 14 
16 6.png Joel Farabee (LW) U.S. National U18 Team USDP 54 27 37 64 38 
17 8.png Martin Kaut (RW) HC Dynamo Pardubice Czech 38 9 7 16 14 
18 2.png Jesperi Kotkaniemi (C) Ässät Liiga 57 10 19 29 20 
19 3.png Jared McIsaac (D) Halifax Mooseheads QMJHL 65 9 38 47 86 
20 6.png Bode Wilde (D) U.S. National U18 Team USDP 53 11 25 36 59 
 
21 3.png Serron Noel (RW) Oshawa Generals OHL 62 28 25 53 61 
22 9.png Alexander Alexeyev (D) Red Deer Rebels WHL 45 7 30 37 29 
23 3.png Jacob Bernard-Docker (D) Okotoks Oilers AJHL 49 20 21 41 34 
24 3.png Ryan McLeod (C) Mississauga Steelheads OHL 68 26 44 70 26 
25 1.png Adam Ginning (D) Linköping HC SHL 28 1 1 2 10 
26 3.png Akil Thomas (C) Niagara IceDogs OHL 68 22 59 81 36 
27 3.png Benoit-Olivier Groulx (C) Halifax Mooseheads QMJHL 68 28 27 55 100 
28 21.png Dominik Bokk (RW) Växjö Lakers HC J20 SuperElit 35 14 27 41 12 
29 3.png Jonny Tychonick (D) Penticton Vees BCHL 48 9 38 47 34 
30 6.png K'Andre Miller (D) U.S. National U18 Team USDP 50 7 17 24 22 
 
31 1.png Jacob Olofsson (C) Timrå IK Allsvenskan 43 10 11 21 10

Just an FYI for everyone, here are the top 5 scorer in the OHL, note the only D-Man. I think Bouchard should probably go Top 5, if we are around 4-5, I say we take him. Unless Holland really wants Tkachuk!

OHL

# PLAYER GP G A TP
1. 
flag Morgan Frost (F)
67
42
70
112
2. 
flag Jordan Kyrou (F)
56
39
70
109
3. 
flag Nick Suzuki (F)
64
42
58
100
4. 
flag Jason Robertson (F)
68
41
46
87
5. 
flag Evan Bouchard (D)
67
25
62
87

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Unless we're picking 2nd overall (Svechnikov), I think it's almost a given that we'll be taking a defenseman with our first pick. The consensus top defensemen not named Dahlin are pretty much set: Hughes, Boqvist, Bouchard, Dobson. Maybe also Ty Smith, depending on who you ask.

For what it's worth (not much), Draper didn't mention Hughes when he rattled off names in his recent interview with HSJ:

HSJ: Is the defense position a priority?

KD: “A major priority. You have Dahlin. You have Boqvist, you have Evan Bouchard playing in London, you have Noah Dobson in Acadie-Bathurst. You have Ty Smith playing out west. There’s a pretty good crew of defensemen that are going to be available in the top 20.

Our second 1st, I don't know, because Vegas's postseason fate is totally up in the air at this time and, as far as I'm concerned, there really isn't a whole lot of separation in the rough consensus 16-31 range anyway. I assume the Wings would like a defenseman or centerman as opposed to a winger, but there should be some pretty sexy wingers available in that range, e.g. Joel Farabee (not sure he slides that far, but we'll see), Serron Noel, Dominik Bokk.

I agree with @LeftWinger that having those two early 2nds is a really big deal. People are focused on our first 1st, and rightfully so, but that cluster of picks -- Vegas's 1st and the two early 2nds -- could be where we really make bank.

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On 4/6/2018 at 8:03 PM, krsmith17 said:

I don't see Veleno or Wilde dropping back that far. I wouldn't mind trading up to the middle of the first if someone we really like drops. But yeah, we should get at least a couple very good prospects in this draft. I just hope we manage to get a steal or two, ala Barzal / Boeser. Maybe Veleno could be that player this year...

I am basing that on the hope that VGK get upset in the first round. That would put the 2nd pick around the late teens I think? I could see one of those guys dropping. Every year, there's a guy who drops that noone expects. That's good for us.

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16 minutes ago, Neomaxizoomdweebie said:

I am basing that on the hope that VGK get upset in the first round. That would put the 2nd pick around the late teens I think? I could see one of those guys dropping. Every year, there's a guy who drops that noone expects. That's good for us.

I don't think that's right though. I'm pretty sure because Vegas won their division, the highest that pick will be is 24. If they don't make the Conference Finals, the pick is between 24-27. If they lose in the Conference Finals, that pick is 28 or 29. If they lose in the Finals, the pick is 30, and if they win the Cup, the pick is 31. So yeah, the way I understand it, best case scenario, we get pick 24 from Vegas.

That's why I'd like to trade up to get another pick in the middle of the first. I'd love for a big name to drop to us, but I don't see it. I'd prefer to draft quality over quantity. But hey, maybe there's a guy we really like, that we know will drop to the 2nd round.

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On the D, it's still not out of the question Kronner hangs it up, or sees significantly less games. Green is a huge question for sure. I agree XO will be dealt, probably for a 5th at the draft.

Open - Daley

DD - Open

Ericsson  - Jensen

Kronner may play all season, maybe not, so he could pick up 7th man duties or 2nd pairing. 

I believe if we draft any of the top 4 D, Dahlin, Bouchard, Boqvist or Hughes, they could make the team. It still leaves a spot for Hicketts and if Kronner calls it quits, another kid.

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1 hour ago, LeftWinger said:

On the D, it's still not out of the question Kronner hangs it up, or sees significantly less games. Green is a huge question for sure. I agree XO will be dealt, probably for a 5th at the draft.

Open - Daley

DD - Open

Ericsson  - Jensen

Kronner may play all season, maybe not, so he could pick up 7th man duties or 2nd pairing. 

I believe if we draft any of the top 4 D, Dahlin, Bouchard, Boqvist or Hughes, they could make the team. It still leaves a spot for Hicketts and if Kronner calls it quits, another kid.

some of you guys are going to be disappointed when the defense next year is exactly the same as this year. Unless we draft Dahlin, or Green can't play, I don't see anyone new on the blueline next year.

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3 minutes ago, Neomaxizoomdweebie said:

some of you guys are going to be disappointed when the defense next year is exactly the same as this year. Unless we draft Dahlin, or Green can't play, I don't see anyone new on the blueline next year.

Sadly, you will be correct.

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2 minutes ago, Neomaxizoomdweebie said:

some of you guys are going to be disappointed when the defense next year is exactly the same as this year. Unless we draft Dahlin, or Green can't play, I don't see anyone new on the blueline next year.

*solemn agreement nod*

We'll be lucky if Hicketts is on the opening night roster, never mind Hronek or Cholowski or Hughes/Boqvist/Bouchard.

The team we watched last week is more or less the team we'll be watching next season. Drafting Dahlin, acquiring Tavares, acquiring Karlsson -- it'd take something of this magnitude for us to see a genuine roster shakeup over the coming summer.

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1 hour ago, Dabura said:

*solemn agreement nod*

We'll be lucky if Hicketts is on the opening night roster, never mind Hronek or Cholowski or Hughes/Boqvist/Bouchard.

The team we watched last week is more or less the team we'll be watching next season. Drafting Dahlin, acquiring Tavares, acquiring Karlsson -- it'd take something of this magnitude for us to see a genuine roster shakeup over the coming summer.

Aside from Dahlin, I don't think any of those other high end prospect dmen will be ready for the NHL next season. Hronek and Cholowski are both probably at least a year away. Kronwall will probably be retired and Ouellet will probably be gone by the end of next season. So there should be room for them then. Daley is off the books the year after that to make room for another kid. Hicketts is really the only one i could see on the roster next year. He's NHL ready at this point, although in a reduced role. If Green is signed though, I don't see how there's room for him.

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Nice mock draft:

https://www.diebytheblade.com/2018/4/8/17213402/end-of-season-1st-round-mock

The author brings up an interesting fact (assuming it's true): the Senators haven't drafted a Russian in over a decade and the Hurricanes haven't drafted a Russian since 2001. If that's true, and if it's because they have a rule about not drafting Russians, maybe neither of them would take Svechnikov at #2 or #3. Also, Peter Chiarelli is a moron.

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8 minutes ago, LeftWinger said:

Dang, I sure would love one of K'Andre or Serron. But if they're gone, Akil is a good one! Especially if Holland has plans to deal AA.

It's gonna be really interesting seeing how the second half of the 1st round and the first half of the 2nd round play out. Does a guy like Serron Noel go in the middle of the 1st? Near the end of the 1st? Does he slide into the 2nd? I honestly don't know. There's so much to like in the top two or three tiers of this draft class that it seems wide open once you get past the top 12 or so.

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Y'know what'd be funny? Us not getting Andrei Svechnikov and being sad because no bro teamup but ultimately ending up with an even better bro teamup in Quinn and Jack Hughes.

I know I'm looking too far ahead, but imagine having Jack Hughes and Dylan Larkin as your 1-2 punch at center. So much HYPE! Soooooo much HYPE!

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57 minutes ago, LeftWinger said:

The Hughes bros. would be great! The problem is, we can get Quinn with a top 6 pick, we will absolutely need to win the lottery next year to get Jack. Not unless 3 or 4 other players can knock him down a few for us...

Oh, I know. Just sayin'.

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