I need help with the math for the rest of the season...

[WingsWingsWings 3]

With the huge points lead that the Wings currently have on the rest of the league, I was trying to do some math.

I, without success, was trying to figure out how many wins the Wings needed to clinch a spot in the playoffs, then clinch the division, conference, and league (President's Trophy) titles.

Can someone help me with this??

[norrisnick 1]

To clinch the playoffs we need 15 wins assuming the 9th seed wins every remaining game.

To clinch the division we need 16 wins assuming Nashville wins every remaining game.

To clinch the Conference we need 20 wins assuming San Jose wins every remaining game.

To clinch the League we need 20 wins assuming San Jose wins every remaining game.

Those numbers will fall as the teams behind us fail to win.

Math is rough so there may be mistakes.

[redwinger4747 6]

As it stands now, 15 wins for a playoff birth, 16 for the division, 20 for the conference, 20 for the presidents trophy. Keep in mind these numbers are calculated against the amount of points the other teams will have if they win every one of their remaining games. So these numbers will go down each time certain opponents lose.

Edited February 7, 2008 by redwinger4747

[Lou_Siffer 1]

I just assume theyre going to do all of those and save myself the trouble.

[imisssergei 0]

With the huge points lead that the Wings currently have on the rest of the league, I was trying to do some math.

I, without success, was trying to figure out how many wins the Wings needed to clinch a spot in the playoffs, then clinch the division, conference, and league (President's Trophy) titles.

Can someone help me with this??

The problem is the numbers will change nearly every single day as different teams win and lose.

[Superman54 91]

My Prediction, 9

[stormboy 47]

so they have 27 games left? obviously san jose will lose some games, but even if they didn't the wings would have to go 20-6-0 to make absolutely sure they'd clinch the league? they're 21-4-2 at home and 20-6-2 away...so a 20-6-0 stretch isn't actually that incomprehensible. like an .769 win percentage... i think they're around .780 for the season after the seven-game winning streak.

interesting stat.

sharks have been playing at about .605 win percent thus far in the season. if they continue to play the same way (obviously a big if), they'll have right around 100 points on the season, meaning the wings would need only eight wins to clinch. is that right? i think so. but, yeah, don't be surprised if san jose turns it on down the stretch. even if they start winning a lot, we could play .500 and still probably be fine.

Edited February 7, 2008 by stormboy

[Cicada 4]

i actually believe the # stands at 4 games...

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western...l/RedWings.html

statistically speaking anyway...

[norrisnick 1]

i actually believe the # stands at 4 games...

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western...l/RedWings.html

statistically speaking anyway...

If stats worked Vegas would be out of money.

[chrisdetroit 189]

i actually believe the # stands at 4 games...

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western...l/RedWings.html

statistically speaking anyway...

So according to this site, the odds of the Ducks making the playoffs is 51.6%. Flip a coin.

Tell that to all those Duck supporters. I'm sure that they will have reasons as to why this is wrong.

[Dano33 41]

i actually believe the # stands at 4 games...

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western...l/RedWings.html

statistically speaking anyway...

I like how the Capitals have the best chance at making the playoffs in the Southeast division at 37.4%.

[jenova0 0]

I like how the Capitals have the best chance at making the playoffs in the Southeast division at 37.4%.

The SE division is terrible. Although Carolina should be better.

[b.shanafan14 733]

i actually believe the # stands at 4 games...

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western...l/RedWings.html

statistically speaking anyway...

Very cool website, didn't know hockey fans went to MIT My favorite is looking at the West as a whole and how the "big games" effect everyone. The Red Wings aren't even listed because they are too far ahead to be affected in the slightest

[WingsWingsWings 3]

Thanks everyone for the cconirmation on those. I got all those numbers when I did it, but I didn't think that I had done it right. I know that the other teams will win some and lose some, thus making those numbers quite flexible.

I just assume theyre going to do all of those and save myself the trouble.

[betterREDthandead 58]

Here's how I see the numbers after crunching them a bit today. Read like this:

Team

Maximum points that team can earn by winning all their games

Points the Wings need to surpass that total

When the Wings can do that if they too win all their games

So for example, the Sharks can earn 123 points if they never lose. The Wings need 38 points (at this moment) to guarantee the Sharks cannot pass the Wings this season. They can earn that 38th point on March 19 against the Blue Jackets if the Wings, too, do not lose.

This doesn't take into account anything like, the teams actually playing each other. For example the Wings or Kings can make up ground tonight when they play. Because the Wings are likely to lose less often than the rest of the conference, the Wings will probably clinch things earlier than the dates shown.

SAN JOSE SHARKS - Wings clinch #1 seed

123

38

March 19 vs. CLS

MINNESOTA WILD

122

37

March 19 vs. CLS

DALLAS STARS

119

34

March 15 vs. NAS

CALGARY FLAMES

118

33

March 15 vs. NAS

NASHVILLE PREDATORS - Wings clinch division

117

32

March 13 vs. DAL

COLORADO AVALANCHE

117

32

March 13 vs. DAL

PHOENIX COYOTES

116

31

March 13 vs. DAL

VANCOUVER CANUCKS - Wings clinch playoff spot

115

30

March 11 vs. CHI

ST. LOUIS BLUES

115

30

March 11 vs. CHI

ANAHEIM DUCKS

113

28

March 9 vs. NAS

COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS

111

26

March 5 vs STL

CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS

109

24

March 2 vs BUF

EDMONTON OILERS

107

22

Feb 29 vs. SJ

LOS ANGELES KINGS

101

16

Feb 22 vs. CAL

[Vladiator 116]

i actually believe the # stands at 4 games...

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western...l/RedWings.html

statistically speaking anyway...

Interesting that the Wings hit 100% playoff probability right around week 13