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It's not though... 1st - 18.5% 2nd - 16.5% 3rd - 14.4% 4th - 50.6% Picking 4th is still the most likely spot we land, but since picking top three, or dropping to four is basically a coin flip, I choose to believe that we'll land in the top three... Fingers crossed for one, but I'd be more than okay with two as well. Three would be disappointing, and four would be a huge kick to the nuts... I'm hoping the top five ends up being... 1. Wings 2. Ducks 3. Kings 4. Sens 5. Sens (via Sharks)

Yup, Wings, Kings and Ducks in the top three pushing the Sens two picks to four and five is ideal. That's just for teams outside the "play-in" / playoffs, because I don't want to wait for the "second lottery" to see where we land in the top three... What a stupid f***ing gimmicky format...

Personally, I don't want ant non-Wings Atlantic team getting Lafreniere or Byfield, especially if it means we pick 3rd or 4th.

Technically, 4th is the most likely. http://www.tankathon.com/nhl/pick_odds 1st - 18.5% 2nd - 16.5% 3rd - 14.4% 4th - 50.6% If there's a silver lining, it's that 18.5 + 16.5 + 14.4 = 49.4. Which mean it's basically a coin flip: heads/tails we pick in the top 3, tails/heads we pick 4th. (Hmm...that sounded more comforting in my head. ) EDIT: Oh, sorry, should've read the rest of the replies.

I hear ya, and I'm right there with ya. Just saying that "most likely" is inaccurate. Like I said in a previous post, f*** odds and math, we're due for a bit of luck in this draft. May the hockey gods be on our side...

honestly here is the way I look at it, even though we will get a heck-uva quality player at 4, I think if we do fall to 4, it'll just seem like a huge slap in the face because we fell as far as we could. Even if we just fell to 3, it wouldn't feel as horrible. There is only 3 other teams though I wouldn't mind us falling to in reality, Ottawa, LA, Anaheim. That's it. Nobody else deserves to jump us to #1, especially perennial tankers like NJ and Buffalo. Screw the rest of the bottom 15, they've all had their picks in the #1-#3 range over the past several years...and it's gonna stink if Montreal or pulls that upset and Pittsburgh gets the #1...I would actually puke. I'd rather a team get the and keep the #1 and we get #4 than to see Pitt, Edmonton, Chicago or Toronto get the #1.

yeah the waiting just adds to the immense angst I have for this lotto. My brain just echos not 4th, please not 4th. 1st or 2nd please. 3rd is fine. PLEASE NOT 4TH.