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number9

Member Since 22 Nov 2010
Offline Last Active Today, 03:34 PM
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Topics I've Started

Hasek Disagrees With Jagr

28 May 2014 - 06:20 PM

http://www.nhl.com/i...id=nhl:topheads
 

Over Jagr's comments on the nationals teams critiscm at the worlds

 

Love that Hudler got some love from Jagr too lol

 


Wings Advanced Puck Possession Stats

06 May 2014 - 12:58 PM

So I saw a Leafs fan do this, and for them all of their fighters ended up at the bottom of the list, so I thought it might actually be a semi decent metric and wanted to see how the Wings lined up.

 

Corsi F% is basically an advance stats proxy for puck possession. (Shots + shots missed the net + shots blocked for your team and the others while a player is on the ice)

 

The Leafs fan did Corsi F%, minus Corsi F% of linemates, plus the Corsi F% of opposition. So basically it's CF% adjusted for the strength of competition and strength of linemates.

 

Here's the numbers for the Wings during regular season 5x5 play:

 

  1. Tatar 0.563 - 0.500 + 0.496 = .559
  2. Datsyuk 0.561 - 0.500 + 0.494 = .555
  3. Nyquist 0.546 - 0.510 + 0.501 = .537
  4. Sheahan 0.561 - 0.522 + 0.494 = .533
  5. Jurco 0.558 - 0.524 + 0.494 = .528
  6. Zetterberg 0.532 - 0.517 + 0.508 = .523
  7. Helm 0.531 - 0.508 + 0.492 = .515
  8. Legwand 0.496 - 0.492 + 0.501 = .505
  9. Alfredsson 0.513 - 0.511 + 0.495 = .497
  10. Franzen 0.511 - 0.514 + 0.500 = .497
  11. Samuelsson 0.505 - 0.505 + 0.497 = .497
  12. Emmerton 0.502 - 0.505 + 0.498 = .495
  13. Abdelkader 0.508 - 0.518 + 0.503 = .493
  14. Andersson 0.500 - 0.515 + 0.495 = .480
  15. Miller 0.489 - 0.510 + 0.494 = .473
  16. Bertuzzi 0.496 - 0.524 + 0.497 = .469
  17. Cleary 0.473 - 0.512 + 0.499 = .460
  18. Glendening 0.462 - 0.518 + 0.495 = .439
  19. Weiss 0.420 - 0.520 + 0.505 = .405

 

I was glad to see all the kids right up there with Datsyuk and Zetterberg. A testament to how well they've worked in our puck possession system so far. Defensive players like Abdelkader, Miller, Andersson, and Glendening ranked low, which didn't surprise me bc most don't have the offensive ability to possess the puck a lot. Not surprisingly either is how low Weiss, Cleary, and Bertuzzi are, all guys that should have shown more offense.

 

These numbers are far from 100% reflective of puck possession skill, but if we were to go off them a puck possession team should ice this forward lineup next year:

 

Tatar - Datsyuk - Nyquist

Zetterberg - Sheahan - Jurco

Legwand - Helm - Alfredsson/Franzen

Abdelkader - Andersson - Alfredsson/Franzen

 

I think most would agree with that lineup or some variation of it. We also have Weiss who's numbers could be much better next year.

 

Thoughts on the calculations or results? It's very moneyballish so take it for what it's worth


Would You Trade For Matt Greene's Rights?

16 April 2014 - 06:54 PM

http://rinkroyalty.c...illie-mitchell/

Michigan native. Super physical shut-down guy.

 

Or do we risk waiting till FA?


Marc McNulty

17 March 2014 - 05:29 PM

LH D-man. 18 years old. 6'6"

Has 42 pts in 67 gp this year in the OHL, as well as 115 pims

Possible steal? That's a lot of pts for a young kid. He's apparently fast for his size and hard to beat defensively bc of his reach

Islanders

09 March 2014 - 12:59 AM

Wisniewski, Visnovsky, Nabokov, Ehrhoff, and now Vanek. Seems no player has any desire to be there. Snow actually gets his players on great contracts but can't trade or sign FA's for the life of him. After all the missteps by management, gotta think players will start demanding trades out of there. His core all has very attractive price tags. Maybe Holland can join the fun for once and fleece snow for a player.

PS saw on reddit that they're fans are planning a 2nd period walkout soon. At least they know they're team is a joke.