kipwinger

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kipwinger last won the day on June 4

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About kipwinger

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  1. Wonder what the odds are for the 1st overall...

    I don't care where we draft. If we don't take a center with #1 upside, or a defenseman with the same, then we're not one iota better. Those have been our two most glaring issues for about 10 drafts now, and remain that way still.
  2. Athanasiou Rumor

    So Holland's whole rationale for not paying AA is that he'd then have to pay Mantha and Larkin more than the standard "bridge" deals as well. He seems to be pretty dated in how he handles salary negotiations. Many organizations are foregoing the "bridge" deal and locking young talent up to longer term contracts these days. For example, Columbus game Alexander Wennberg 4.9 million over six years coming off his entry level contract. Likewise, Nashville have Viktor Arvidsson 4.25 million over 7 years. Both were coming off their entry level contracts and were RFAs. Considering both of these guys are better than AA, I'd say 2.5-3 million would be good for him, but over a long term
  3. David Booth get PTO

    Yeah, assuming GR will lose Bertuzzi to the main roster, Callahan in the offseason, and maybe Frk to waivers I don't think this is a bad idea. I don't think any of our young forwards are ready to step in so it's not like he's taking a spot from anyway.
  4. Tatar, Athanasiou, and XO's new deals

    This. I remember Sproul looking really good in exactly one game, against Tampa in November when he scored a goal and an assist. Both came on the powerplay where he was used in the Ovechkin spot on the left side. That's pretty much optimal deployment for him and he produced, but otherwise I've never really noticed him that much. He'd definitely need to shape up his 5 on 5 play before he'd be anything I'd worry about losing. I suppose it's possible he's another Justin Schultz and just needs the right situation/team and a little more seasoning. But more likely he's Brendan Smith all over again. An "offensive" defenseman who never scores any offense.
  5. 2017 Opening Day Roster

    I guess this... Nyquist-Z-Mantha Tatar-Larkin-AA Frk-Neilsen-Svech Helm-Sheahan-Abby Glendening Bertuzzi Dekeyser-Green Daly-Jensen Ouellet-Sproul
  6. 2017 Draft

    I'm a little concerned that our top 10 pick isn't earning consistent time at his natural position in the World Juniors Summer Showcase. Meanwhile, a number of his peers in this draft class are tearing it up. Hope it's just lingering affects from his wrist injury and not because we drafted a dud.
  7. Off-season moves

    I've never even really watched the guy play much. I had a buddy who was a big Sabres fan and was pumped when they got him, but after he was traded to Colorado I quit paying attention to him. Seems intriguing based on his offensive upside, but I keep reading about work ethic issues. He scored 10 goals in 75 games this season. It's not good by any means, though it would have been 10th on our team. Given his pedigree and upside I'd seriously consider it.
  8. Off-season moves

    I will preface this question by saying that in general I'm not in favor of signing anyone in free agency. That said, I see that Colorado did not qualify Mikhail Grigorenko and he will become a UFA. Grigorenko is a 23 year old center, former first round pick, has good size, is highly skilled, but has never been been able to put it all together (probably traumatized by having to play for Buffalo at age 18). If you could get him on a two way (prove it) contract, would you sign him?
  9. 2017 Draft

    Right, but we just used our highest draft pick in almost 30 years on him. So presumably you'd like to fill a need with it. Especially if that need is as important as 1C or 1D, both things we need, and neither of which Rasmussen will be if moved to the wing (where we're currently loaded with talent). And even then, if you were going to target a guy to be a goal scoring winger, why not take Tippett who is by all accounts the best goal scoring winger in the draft?
  10. 2017 Draft

    How do the two stack up in terms of powerplay production. One knock I've heard repeatedly on Rasmussen was that more than half his production was on the powerplay. But I haven't looked to see how much of Mantha's came with the man advantage.
  11. 2017 Draft

    You're conflating two discussions, which is partially my fault because I was talking about Ericsson with someone else in this Draft thread. I referenced Nashville's defense while talking about Ericssson because someone else said that Ericsson should be more physical and clear the crease more. I said Nashville doesn't have a "crease clearer", but that their defense is still really good regardless, because they move the puck well. And that hitting, and blocking shots, and crease clearing usually means you don't have the puck, which isn't a good thing. And that's where you jumped in with your comment about Dave Tippett. My whole point was that hitting is not a sound defensive strategy nor is it indicative of team success. That much has been proven. There does, however, seem to be some correlation between good possession metrics and goals against averages. However, I agree that being "good" at the defense you do play is just as important as limiting the amount of time the other team is in your zone.
  12. 2017 Draft

    Yikes, another "Loser" tag for our drafting this year. https://sports.yahoo.com/winners-losers-nhl-draft-2017-211925333.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw
  13. 2017 Draft

    Data: https://www.jacketscannon.com/2014/8/8/5983407/to-hit-or-not-to-hit-the-statistic-vs-the-reality "Teams in the Top 10 in hits were significantly more likely to fall in the Bottom 10 in goals per game (38%) than in the top 10 in that category (28%). For those believing that hits is a valid defensive statistic, the numbers do not provide much support. Only 30% of the teams in the Top 10 in hits were among the Top 10 in goals against per game, while 36% fell in the bottom 10 in that category. Conversely, teams that fell in the bottom 10 in hits, were the most likely (38%) to be in the Top 10 in goals per game." Here's another article talking about it: http://nhlnumbers.com/2013/3/7/why-shot-differential-is-important-item-45604 "The data is, of course, hilarious. As a whole, teams did far better when they got outhit than they when they outhit the other side. I suspect that there are two main reasons for this: first, there probably is a great deal of truth to the argument that teams without the puck hit more, which doesn’t facilitate scoring. Second, there’s probably an element of teams that are behind deciding to focus on laying the body to try and turn the momentum – “Send out the energy line!” I suspect that what shows up here contains some score effects although, we know that trailing teams tend to possess the puck more, which would seem to give them less opportunity to hit."
  14. 2017 Draft

    Don't get me wrong, I didn't want Vilardi or Rasmussen, I'm just suggesting there were other players still available with more (or similar) skill. Personally, I'd have preferred we move up one spot and take Mittelstadt, or else trade back 3 or 4 spots, take one of the better offensive d-men still available and then try to get into the late 1st round and take Kostin (the way St. Louis did). As I've said several times now, I don't think Rasmussen is unskilled, I think he's unskilled relative to some guys who were still available and therefore wasn't a good pick at 9th.
  15. 2017 Draft

    I completely understand your argument. I just don't think that him being more physical would make him better. I actually think it would be detrimental to his success. Because if you're hitting, and banging, and crashing, then you aren't usually getting the puck out of your zone. And that's generally bad. I'd rather he work on his passing, and if he can't get better at that, then I'd prefer he retire. I'm just not convinced that hitting more will have a positive influence on the him or the team (other than the cathartic affect you feel when an opposition forward gets crushed).