• Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

FireCaptain

% chance of making the playoffs

Rate this topic

263 posts in this topic

The Buffalo and Carolina games are my concern. Losing either of those could be catastrophic. You'd have to think those teams would love the chance to contribute to ending the streak. Wings gotta be on their toes and play complete games.

Rick D and sjr2012 like this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Realistically I think we've gotta be shooting for 92 points to get in. With 7 games left, and the way they've been playing receecntly, combined with their remaining games against the Stars, Devils, Blues, Hawks and Lightning, I'm not sure the Caps will even get to 92. Does anyone else see them getting 5+ wins out of their remaining schedule? I don't think I do.

Personally I just hope we can finish this week with winning 2 out of 3. Maybe then I could relax a little.

Edited by wings4thecup06

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Washington can win out and earn 93 points.

Toronto, New Jersey, and Ottawa can win out and each earn 92 points. Toronto would have the most regulation wins of those three with 42, Ottawa would have 39 and New Jersey would have 38.

Carolina can end the season with as much as 89 points, the Islanders can earn 84. Everyone else is mathematically eliminated.

Presently the Wings are at 84 points with seven games (14 potential points) remaining. If Washington wins out they will have 40 regulation/OT wins, which means that 4 regulation wins and a single OT loss from the Red Wings won't cut it to guarantee a spot just yet, because the Capitals would still have the upper hand due to more regulation/OT wins. So as of midnight on April 2 it looks like the magic number is 10 points, in any combination of Wings victories or points that Washington leaves on the table.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Washington can win out and earn 93 points.

Toronto, New Jersey, and Ottawa can win out and each earn 92 points. Toronto would have the most regulation wins of those three with 42, Ottawa would have 39 and New Jersey would have 38.

Carolina can end the season with as much as 89 points, the Islanders can earn 84. Everyone else is mathematically eliminated.

Presently the Wings are at 84 points with seven games (14 potential points) remaining. If Washington wins out they will have 40 regulation/OT wins, which means that 4 regulation wins and a single OT loss from the Red Wings won't cut it to guarantee a spot just yet, because the Capitals would still have the upper hand due to more regulation/OT wins. So as of midnight on April 2 it looks like the magic number is 10 points, in any combination of Wings victories or points that Washington leaves on the table.

nope still 9 points any way you slice it, if washington wins out, all we need is 2 more regulation wins and 9 points, that would bring us to 93 points, with 32 row, vs. the caps 93 points with 31 row(if they winn ALL their remaining games in reg/ot) and all others behind them... 9 points is the magic number

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Washington can win out and earn 93 points.

Toronto, New Jersey, and Ottawa can win out and each earn 92 points. Toronto would have the most regulation wins of those three with 42, Ottawa would have 39 and New Jersey would have 38.

Carolina can end the season with as much as 89 points, the Islanders can earn 84. Everyone else is mathematically eliminated.

Presently the Wings are at 84 points with seven games (14 potential points) remaining. If Washington wins out they will have 40 regulation/OT wins, which means that 4 regulation wins and a single OT loss from the Red Wings won't cut it to guarantee a spot just yet, because the Capitals would still have the upper hand due to more regulation/OT wins. So as of midnight on April 2 it looks like the magic number is 10 points, in any combination of Wings victories or points that Washington leaves on the table.

You're ROW numbers are off. You're giving total wins.

NJ Can get to 38, Ott to 34, Tor to 33, Was to 31.

So 9 pts so long as two of the wins are regulation/ot.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Accoding to sportsclubstats if everything goes our way tonight we'll have a 100.4% chance of making the playoffs. Seems legit.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Does this extra 0.4% mean we get the cup handed directly because of our playoffspot-securing-awesomeness ?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well that's good but what all has to happen to be at 100%? Sorry 100.04%?

We win and who loses?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

We need 3 more points to clinch, less if Jersey, Washington and Toronto lose again. So 1-2-1 is good enough to clinch.

Edit: Incorrectly assumed we had five games left.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

And we have to finish at least a point ahead of the BJ's to stay in 7th cause of ROW's correct? What about Philly, if they fall to wild card, what's their row compared to ours?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

And we have to finish at least a point ahead of the BJ's to stay in 7th cause of ROW's correct? What about Philly, if they fall to wild card, what's their row compared to ours?

They are +5 ahead of us

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

As of right now, we need 3 points (I believe) to clinch a playoff spot if NJ and Tor win all three of their remaining games. That shouldn't be impossible, but the Wings HAVE to win tonight to increase those odds. It would be nice to clinch that 7th spot and play Pittsburgh, but just making it in means that anything is possible. Wouldn't want to play Montreal, though. Their speed and goaltending has given Detroit problems for the past few seasons.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

As of right now, we need 3 points (I believe) to clinch a playoff spot if NJ and Tor win all three of their remaining games. That shouldn't be impossible, but the Wings HAVE to win tonight to increase those odds. It would be nice to clinch that 7th spot and play Pittsburgh, but just making it in means that anything is possible. Wouldn't want to play Montreal, though. Their speed and goaltending has given Detroit problems for the past few seasons.

Really? Cuz we won the first two games of the season despite having a ton of players injured against them. To add to that I recall having their number the past few seasons.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!


Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.


Sign In Now